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Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$51.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 Week of June 1 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $1.3K in 24h volume, and $3.1K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$3.1K
This market asks whether the active-month Natural Gas futures contract will print a 1-minute candle high of $3.60 or higher during the trading week of June 1, 2026. Natural gas is a closely watched energy benchmark because it moves with weather, storage, production, and broader fuel demand, so a specific price level can become a focal point for traders and observers.
The event is tied to CME Natural Gas (NG) futures and resolves from the active month contract, not just any NG contract. The question is whether, at any point during an applicable trading session in the week of June 1, 2026, a 1-minute candle for that active month contract reaches a published High or Low at or beyond $3.60, using Pyth prices exactly as published and without rounding. The market ends on 2026-06-05 at 21:00 UTC, and if the active month contract does not trade during the relevant window, the market resolves No.
This market is about a very specific price test in a volatile energy futures contract. Natural gas can move quickly around changing weather forecasts, storage expectations, supply issues, and shifting demand, so traders may disagree on whether the contract can touch a defined threshold during that exact week. Because the rule uses a precise intraday high/low and a specific futures month, the outcome depends on more than just the closing price or the broader direction of the market.
The main price drivers for this kind of market are any moves that push the active NG futures contract toward or away from the $3.60 level during the session window. That can include changes in weather expectations, supply and storage narratives, and contract-roll dynamics as the active month shifts to the next listed futures month under CME rules. Since the market keys off a one-minute candle high, a brief spike can matter even if the contract later trades back below the threshold.
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24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$51.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify which contract is the active month during the week of June 1, 2026, because the market does not resolve from a generic natural gas quote. The source of truth is the Pyth-published price for the active month NG futures contract, and only trading-session prices during the specified business days count; the daily CME session break and any holiday or special-session hours can matter. It is also important to check that the threshold is met by the published 1-minute candle high or low exactly as written, since rounding, end-of-day prices, or non-session trades do not determine the result.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 Week of June 1 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $1.3K in 24h volume, and $3.1K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 5, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of June 1, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe’s business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to that contract's last trading session, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). Per CME contract specifications for Natural Gas (NG) futures, the last trading day is defined as the third last business day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month. For example, if the last business day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month is a Thursday, the last trading session is the session for the prior Tuesday, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for the Friday of the previous week (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month Natural Gas (NG) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month Natural Gas futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=NGD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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