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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?. The market currently shows a live probability of 68%, $21.5K in 24h volume, and $26.2K in liquidity.
Probability
68%
24h Volume
$21.5K
Liquidity
$26.2K
This market asks whether Pamela Evette will win the Republican primary for governor of South Carolina in 2026. It is centered on a specific statewide nomination contest, so the key issue is not the general election but who emerges as the Republican Party’s chosen candidate on primary day and, if needed, after any runoff.
The event is the 2026 South Carolina Republican primary for governor, scheduled for June 9, 2026. Pamela Evette, South Carolina’s lieutenant governor, is the named candidate in the title, and the market resolves "Yes" if she is declared the overall winner of that Republican primary, including any second round or runoff if one is held. If there is no Republican gubernatorial primary in 2026, the market resolves to "Other."
Primary elections can be uncertain because multiple Republicans may compete for the same nomination, and South Carolina’s rules can extend the contest beyond the first ballot if no candidate clears the threshold for an outright win. That creates disagreement over whether Evette will consolidate enough support to finish first, especially in a race where endorsements, organization, and runoff dynamics can matter as much as name recognition. The market is effectively pricing the chance that she is the nominee after the party’s official primary process is complete.
The biggest price moves will come from official campaign developments that change the shape of the Republican field, such as whether major rivals enter or exit the race, consolidate behind one candidate, or trigger a runoff. Endorsements from party leaders, county-level organization, and any official vote totals from the South Carolina Republican Party’s primary can also shift expectations quickly, especially if the first-round result is close. Because the market explicitly counts a possible second round or runoff, anything that changes assumptions about turnout or runoff alliances is especially relevant.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 68% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should watch for the South Carolina Republican Party’s official announcement of the primary results, since that is the stated source of truth for resolution. The market also notes that "overwhelming consensus of credible reporting" may suffice, so any uncertainty would likely come from a delayed official tally or a contested result. Before June 9, 2026, verify whether the party actually holds a gubernatorial Republican primary and whether a runoff becomes necessary, because that affects how the final winner is determined.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?. The market currently shows a live probability of 68%, $21.5K in 24h volume, and $26.2K in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
67.5%
No
32.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Carolina, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Carolina Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 68%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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