economy
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $12.2K in 24h volume, and $405.2K in liquidity.
Probability
4%
24h Volume
$12.2K
Liquidity
$405.2K
This market asks whether Pete Buttigieg will ultimately become the Democratic Party’s 2028 nominee for president and accept that nomination. It is a long-dated politics question tied to the formal party selection process, so the answer depends on official Democratic Party nomination outcomes rather than early campaign chatter.
The contract resolves “Yes” only if Pete Buttigieg wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic nomination for U.S. president. If he does not receive that nomination, or if another candidate becomes the nominee, the market resolves “No.” The deadline shown is Election Day 2028, and the rules say that even if the party replaces its nominee before then, that replacement does not change how this market resolves.
Pete Buttigieg is a nationally known Democratic figure, and questions about a future presidential nomination can stay open for years because the field, party mood, and nomination rules may change over time. Readers may care about whether he can translate name recognition, fundraising, and intra-party support into the formal backing needed to win the nomination. The market is pricing disagreement over how likely he is to emerge as the official Democratic standard-bearer in 2028, not whether he remains politically active in the meantime.
Statements from Buttigieg about whether he will run, endorsements from major Democratic leaders, and early signs of support from delegates or state parties could shift sentiment. So could changes in the broader Democratic field, such as stronger or weaker alternatives emerging, or rules and calendar decisions that affect the nomination race. Because the contract is about the official nomination, concrete party actions matter more than speculation about campaign positioning.
The current market price implies roughly a 4% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe key source of truth is the consensus of official Democratic Party sources, so readers should watch the party’s formal nomination process, convention results, and any official acceptance of the nomination. The important detail is the wording: he must both win and accept the 2028 nomination for U.S. president, and a replacement nominee before Election Day does not alter resolution. If the process becomes disputed or unusual, the exact party records and convention outcome will matter more than informal media narratives.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $12.2K in 24h volume, and $405.2K in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
4.5%
No
95.6%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Nov 7, 2028. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 4%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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