culture
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
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Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$50.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will PPI YoY be between 7.0% and 7.9% in May?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $397.2 in 24h volume, and $3.2K in liquidity.
Probability
4%
24h Volume
$397.2
Liquidity
$3.2K
This market asks whether the U.S. Producer Price Index for final demand will rise 7.0% to 7.9% from a year earlier in the BLS report for May 2026. Because the Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes this number on a fixed schedule and to one decimal place, the market has a clear, narrow finish line once the monthly release lands.
The event in question is the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ monthly Producer Price Index report for final demand, specifically the 12-month percent change ending in May 2026 before seasonal adjustment. The market resolves on the official BLS news release scheduled for June 11, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET, using the total PPI for final demand rather than the core measure that excludes food and energy. A “Yes” outcome means the reported year-over-year figure lands anywhere from 7.0% through 7.9%, rounded to one decimal place as the BLS presents it.
This market centers on whether wholesale inflation, as measured by the PPI, will sit inside a fairly specific range for the May reading. Readers may care because the number is a widely watched sign of price pressure earlier in the supply chain, and a one-tenth-point rounding difference can decide the result. The disagreement being priced is not about whether inflation is high or low in a broad sense, but about whether the published headline figure falls inside that exact band.
The price will move most as the June 11 BLS release approaches and the market gets a clearer sense of where the headline PPI is likely to land. Any widely expected shift in producer prices from month to month can matter here, especially because the market depends on the final reported year-over-year reading and its one-decimal rounding. If the BLS report prints near 7.0% or 7.9%, even a small surprise in the monthly data can change whether the outcome lands inside or outside the range.
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24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$50.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 4% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key source of truth is the official BLS PPI release for May 2026, not commentary, estimates, or later revisions. Readers should verify that they are looking at the total PPI for final demand, the 12-month change, and the unadjusted figure reported to one decimal place, since the rules explicitly exclude the core PPI measure. If the BLS release is delayed, the market’s fallback timing follows the next scheduled PPI report as described in the rules, so the exact publication date and time matter for resolution.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will PPI YoY be between 7.0% and 7.9% in May?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $397.2 in 24h volume, and $3.2K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
3.7%
No
96.4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 11, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports the 12-month percent change in the Producer Price Index for final demand to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 4%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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