culture
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
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Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$51K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Ran To Atlanta - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 13?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $2.5K in 24h volume, and $5.3K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$2.5K
Liquidity
$5.3K
This market asks whether a Drake song titled “Ran To Atlanta” will be the No. 1 song on Billboard’s Hot 100 for the chart week of June 13, 2026. It is worth watching because the Hot 100 is the main U.S. singles chart, and the outcome depends on which track Billboard ranks at the top when that week’s chart is published.
The specific question is simple: when Billboard publishes the Hot 100 chart labeled “Week of June 13, 2026,” will “Ran To Atlanta - Drake” sit at number one? Billboard typically updates the chart on Tuesdays, and each chart is labeled for the upcoming Saturday date, so this market resolves from the official chart title rather than the day it appears. If Billboard does not publish that chart within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, the market resolves to “Other.”
There is uncertainty here because a song’s chart position depends on a mix of streaming, sales, and radio performance over the tracking week, and many different releases can compete for the top spot. Drake is a major mainstream artist, which makes any song tied to his name more likely to attract attention, but the market is specifically about whether this exact track reaches No. 1 on the designated chart week. The disagreement is really about whether this song, at that point in time, can outperform every other eligible song on Billboard’s ranking.
Anything that changes the song’s commercial momentum can move this market, especially a release or rollout that boosts streams, downloads, or radio play during Billboard’s Friday-through-Thursday tracking window. The biggest price shifts would usually come from Billboard’s chart update itself, or from clear signs that another song is dominating the same week and looks set to block this track from the top. Because the resolution is tied to a specific chart week, timing matters: performance close to the tracking cutoff can be more important than later attention.
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24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$51K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key source of truth is the official Billboard Hot 100 chart on Billboard’s website or official channels, specifically the chart titled “Week of June 13, 2026.” Readers should verify the exact song title, artist credit, and chart week on the published ranking, since small naming differences can matter in chart listings. The main ambiguity risk is not the market language itself but whether Billboard publishes the expected chart on time; if it is delayed beyond the stated 14-day window, the market goes to “Other.”
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Ran To Atlanta - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 13?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $2.5K in 24h volume, and $5.3K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
0.4%
No
99.7%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 10, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of June 13, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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