economy
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $1.4 in 24h volume, and $100.5K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$1.4
Liquidity
$100.5K
This market asks whether Ricardo Belmont will win Peru’s 2026 presidential election. It is tied to a major national vote scheduled for April 12, 2026, and it matters because Peru’s race could still be decided in a runoff if no one wins outright in the first round.
The question is simple: will Ricardo Belmont be the candidate who ultimately wins the next Peruvian presidency, including any second round? Peru’s general election is scheduled for April 12, 2026, and this market will stay open until the election outcome is known or until the market’s October 31, 2026 cutoff, after which unresolved contracts go to "Other." Resolution is based on the winning candidate as reflected by official Peruvian election authorities, with ONPE and JNE named as the source of truth if there is any ambiguity.
A presidential race can be hard to settle early because candidates may rise or fade as registration, campaigning, polling, alliances, and runoff arithmetic change. Ricardo Belmont is the specific named figure here, so the market is not asking who wins the presidency in general, but whether he personally ends up as the declared winner. Readers care because this is a concrete test of an individual candidacy in a system where the final winner may emerge only after a second round.
Price moves would come from events that change Belmont’s path to victory: official candidate registration, polling shifts, endorsements, disqualifications, debate performances, or results from the first round that make a runoff more or less favorable. Any official ONPE or JNE update that clarifies who advanced, or ultimately who won, would be especially important because the contract resolves by the official election result. If Belmont is not a leading contender in public reporting or polling, later campaign developments or ballot eligibility questions could still matter more than early speculation.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before this market resolves, check the official election calendar, whether Belmont remains an eligible candidate, and whether the result is determined in the first round or after a runoff. The key source of truth is the official count and certification from ONPE and, if needed, JNE; if there is any dispute or unclear reporting, those official results control. Readers should also watch the October 31, 2026 deadline, because if the election is still not definitively known by then, the market resolves to "Other."
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $1.4 in 24h volume, and $100.5K in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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