economy
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $10.2K in 24h volume, and $333.6K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$10.2K
Liquidity
$333.6K
This market asks whether Ro Khanna will secure the Democratic Party’s 2028 presidential nomination and accept it. It is a long-horizon political question, so the main issue is not a campaign-day result but whether Khanna becomes the party’s official nominee by the time Democrats choose their standard-bearer.
Ro Khanna is a U.S. House member from California who has been a visible national Democratic figure, which is why his name can surface in early presidential speculation. The market resolves to “Yes” only if he wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic nomination for U.S. president; otherwise it resolves to “No.” The stated resolution source is a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, and the market end date is tied to the 2028 election cycle rather than an earlier primary event.
This market is pricing uncertainty around whether Khanna will move from prominent legislator to party nominee in a crowded and highly contingent presidential field. The gap between the two outcomes is large because a nomination depends on many things at once: campaign decisions, delegate support, party dynamics, and whether Khanna even runs for the nomination in the first place. The very low “Yes” pricing reflects that this is an outside-the-mainstream outcome, but the market still exists because the 2028 race is far enough away for political fortunes to change.
Statements that Khanna is running, building a national campaign, or winning early endorsements could raise interest in the “Yes” side, while announcements from other major Democrats can make his path look less likely. Strong debate performances, fundraising signals, or visible support from party leaders would matter more than generic speculation because the rule is about the official nomination, not media attention. If Khanna says he will not seek the nomination, or if official party processes make another nominee overwhelmingly likely, that would push the market toward “No.”
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should watch official Democratic Party nomination results, convention actions, and any formal acceptance of the nomination, because the market resolves from official party sources rather than commentary or polling alone. The key wording is that Ro Khanna must both win and accept the 2028 nomination; a replacement nominee or a late change before election day does not alter the market’s rule unless Khanna himself is the official nominee. Since the deadline is in November 2028, the main ambiguity to verify is whether the party’s official sources clearly identify Khanna as the nominee and whether he has accepted that nomination.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $10.2K in 24h volume, and $333.6K in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
1.5%
No
98.6%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Nov 7, 2028. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
-3%
24h Vol
$1.5M
Liquidity
$574.6K
Spread
1%
6/15/2026
View market
+2.1%
24h Vol
$1.8M
Liquidity
$549.6K
Spread
0%
11/7/2028
View market
--
24h Vol
$703.8K
Liquidity
$185.3K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View market
+0.1%
24h Vol
$245.6K
Liquidity
$618K
Spread
0%
10/4/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$93.7K
Liquidity
$359.5K
Spread
0%
4/30/2027
View market