culture
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
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Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$50.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Scary Movie" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $767.3 in 24h volume, and $1.7K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$767.3
Liquidity
$1.7K
This market is asking a very specific Rotten Tomatoes question about *Scary Movie (2026)*: will its displayed “All Critics” Tomatometer score be at least 50 when the market checks it on June 8, 2026? Because Rotten Tomatoes scores can move as more reviews are added, the outcome depends on the score shown at the resolution time, not on any opening-day buzz or long-term box office results.
The event here is the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer for *Scary Movie (2026)*, the next entry tied to the long-running horror-comedy parody brand. The market resolves “Yes” only if the site’s displayed “All Critics” score is 50 or higher at 10:00 AM ET on June 8, 2026; otherwise it resolves “No.” If the score page is unavailable at that moment, the market keeps checking until data appears, but it will still resolve “No” if no data is available by June 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A 50 on Rotten Tomatoes is a meaningful line because it sits at the boundary between mixed and broadly favorable critical reception. For a franchise title like *Scary Movie*, which carries strong genre expectations and a built-in audience memory, the market is really about whether critics respond better or worse than that midpoint. The uncertainty comes from how many reviews will be posted by the deadline and how those reviews are distributed above or below the threshold.
The biggest price moves will come from the Rotten Tomatoes page itself: the first wave of reviews, changes in the listed Tomatometer score, and whether the score stays above or below 50 as more critics are added. Anything that affects how quickly reviews populate the site before June 8 can matter, including a premiere, embargo timing, or a sudden cluster of new critic entries. Because the market resolves on the displayed “All Critics” score at a fixed time, even a small change around the 50 line can matter a lot.
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24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$50.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key thing to verify is the exact Rotten Tomatoes page for *Scary Movie (2026)* and the “All Critics” Tomatometer score shown at 10:00 AM ET on June 8, 2026. Readers should check that the page is for the correct film entry and not a similarly named title, since the market depends on that specific listing. If the page is missing or delayed, the fallback window runs through June 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, which is the final cutoff for resolution.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "Scary Movie" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $767.3 in 24h volume, and $1.7K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
0.7%
No
99.4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes “All Critics” Tomatometer score for Scary Movie (2026) is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on June 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to “No” if no data is available by June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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