
--
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
24h Vol
$42.3K
Liquidity
$187.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $2.3K in 24h volume, and $30.6K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$2.3K
Liquidity
$30.6K
This market asks whether the CME Silver futures contract will post an official settlement price of $230 or higher on any eligible trading day before the end of June 2026. It is worth watching because the threshold is far above normal silver pricing, so the question is less about day-to-day movement and more about whether an extraordinary move or contract-specific pricing event ever reaches that level.
The event is tied to CME Silver (SI) futures, specifically the Active Month contract, which is the nearest designated delivery month that is not the spot month. The market resolves “Yes” if CME’s official settlement price for that Active Month is equal to or above $230 on any trading day through the final trading day of June 2026; otherwise it resolves “No.” Only the official CME settlement price counts, and the resolution source is the CME Group settlement page as it first appears for that day.
There is uncertainty because this market depends on a very specific official settlement print, not on intraday trading or headline prices. Readers may care because the contract rules focus on an exact CME-defined settlement, and the result can turn on a single daily close for the Active Month rather than the broader silver market. The market is pricing the chance that silver futures could reach an unusually elevated level before the deadline.
A sustained rally in silver futures, especially one that lifts the Active Month settlement rather than just the intraday price, would be the clearest way to move this market toward “Yes.” Changes in the nearby CME contract cycle also matter, because the market follows the Active Month and can roll from one delivery month to the next under CME’s First Position Date rules. By contrast, sharp but temporary spikes, thin trading, or prices seen on non-official venues would not count under the resolution rules.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$42.3K
Liquidity
$187.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before June ends, check the official CME settlement page for the Active Month settlement on each trading day, since weekends and holidays are ignored and only published settlement prices count. The key things to verify are the current Active Month, whether it has rolled to the next eligible delivery month, and whether CME has posted a settlement at or above $230 before the final trading day of June 2026. If CME later issues a correction, the market still resolves from the price as first published for that trading day, so the initial settlement print is the critical source of truth.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $2.3K in 24h volume, and $30.6K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
0.5%
No
99.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

-4%
24h Vol
$36.6K
Liquidity
$26.5K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$50.4K
Liquidity
$56K
Spread
1%
6/30/2026
View market
+0.3%
24h Vol
$54.2K
Liquidity
$52.6K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market
-1%
24h Vol
$60.7K
Liquidity
$83.6K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
+0.2%
24h Vol
$43.2K
Liquidity
$17.8K
Spread
1%
6/30/2026
View market