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Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$51.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?. The market currently shows a live probability of 97%, $8.8K in 24h volume, and $12K in liquidity.
Probability
97%
24h Volume
$8.8K
Liquidity
$12K
This market asks whether "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" will clear $14 million in domestic opening-weekend box office. It is being watched because the answer depends on the film’s first four days in theaters, with final resolution tied to box-office reporting rather than studio estimates.
The event is about the opening weekend gross for "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act," measured over the 4-day window from June 4 through June 7. The market resolves to Yes if the final domestic figure reported by The Numbers for that weekend is at least $14 million, and to No if it is below that threshold. If the reported value lands exactly between two brackets, the higher range bracket is used, and if final data is delayed the market can stay open until both The Numbers and Box Office Mojo have confirmed the numbers.
The uncertainty here is whether the movie’s theatrical debut will draw enough audience demand to pass a fairly specific box-office target. For a title like this, the key question is not just whether it opens well, but whether its weekend total lands above a line that may reflect expectations for a niche brand, fanbase size, and theatrical reach. The market is effectively pricing disagreement about how big the opening audience will be once actual ticket sales are counted.
Anything that changes expectations for opening-weekend turnout can move this market, especially confirmed release timing, theater count, and the strength of advance interest as the opening weekend approaches. Because the resolution is based on final domestic box office, the most important signals are the official weekend numbers once reporting begins, along with whether the figures are preliminary studio estimates or finalized totals. If the opening weekend is unusually front-loaded or the final The Numbers figure comes in close to the $14 million line, the price can shift quickly.
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24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$51.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 97% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before this resolves, readers should check that the movie has a finalized 4-day opening-weekend number for June 4 to June 7 on The Numbers box office page. The market’s rules make that source primary, but if there is ambiguity about whether the figure is final, Box Office Mojo is also part of the confirmation process. The deadline in the market data is June 8, 2026, and if final data still is not available by June 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, a different credible source will be chosen.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?. The market currently shows a live probability of 97%, $8.8K in 24h volume, and $12K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
97.5%
No
2.6%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 4-day opening weekend (June 4 - June 7) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 4-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 97%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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