politics
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
1%
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Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
24h Vol
$88.7K
Liquidity
$143.8K
Spread
0%
4/30/2027
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Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $2.5K in 24h volume, and $4.4K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$2.5K
Liquidity
$4.4K
This market asks whether the Bank of Israel will raise its policy interest rate after its July 2026 decision. It matters because the central bank’s rate is one of the clearest signals of where Israeli monetary policy is headed, and the July announcement is the specific public record this page will use to settle the question.
The event is the Bank of Israel’s July 6, 2026 monetary policy decision, with the outcome tied to whether the Bank of Israel Interest Rate ends up higher than it was before that meeting. In plain terms, readers should watch for the official rate announcement and compare it with the previous policy rate level. If the Bank does not issue a new rate decision by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, the market rules say it resolves to the "No change" bracket.
The uncertainty here is not about whether the Bank of Israel meets, but about what it chooses to do with rates at that meeting. Central banks often balance inflation, growth, exchange-rate pressure, and financial stability, so even a routine decision can be open to interpretation until the official statement arrives. The market is pricing the chance that the July decision results in a hike rather than a hold.
The biggest price move will come from the Bank of Israel’s own July 6 announcement, especially the headline rate decision and any accompanying language about inflation, activity, or policy outlook. If the official statement clearly signals a hike, the market would tend to move toward "Yes"; if it points to holding rates steady, it would tend to move toward "No." Because the rules resolve off the published decision, any ambiguity is less about rumors and more about the exact wording and final announced rate level.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$88.7K
Liquidity
$143.8K
Spread
0%
4/30/2027
View marketThe key source of truth is the Bank of Israel’s official interest rate announcement for July 6, 2026, not commentary or secondary summaries. Before resolution, check the published rate decision, the prior rate level, and whether the announcement is issued on the scheduled date or delayed into the next meeting window. The main ambiguity risk is how the market defines a "change": readers should verify the final announced Bank of Israel Interest Rate against the level that existed before this July decision.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $2.5K in 24h volume, and $4.4K in liquidity.
Track live world event prediction markets focused on geopolitics, international relations, global conflicts, diplomacy, and major worldwide developments.
Yes
0.4%
No
99.6%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s July monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its July 6, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/# This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their July 6, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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