
--
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$51K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the median home value in Chicago be greater than $354,000 on June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 14%, $154.7 in 24h volume, and $390.6 in liquidity.
Probability
14%
24h Volume
$154.7
Liquidity
$390.6
This market asks whether Chicago’s median home value will come in above $354,000 on June 30, 2026. It is tied to a specific published data series rather than a headline estimate, so the important question is what Parcl Labs reports for that date and how its index converts into a home-value figure.
The event is about the median home value for all property types in Chicago, Illinois, as of June 30, 2026. The resolution source is the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845), and the final settlement value will be the published price index per square foot multiplied by 1,500 square feet, which the market description says is Chicago’s median home size. If the calculated value is exactly on a threshold between brackets, the market resolves to the higher range bracket.
Chicago’s home values can move with broader housing-market conditions, seasonal demand, mortgage rates, inventory, and neighborhood-level price changes, so there is real uncertainty around where the median lands on a specific date. The market is pricing a simple threshold: whether the Parcl-derived value ends up above or below $354,000, not whether the city’s housing market is generally strong or weak. Because the outcome depends on one official release and a conversion rule, even a modest change in the index can flip the result.
Any change in expectations for Parcl Labs’ June 30 Chicago index can move this market, especially if participants expect the published price per square foot to rise enough to push the 1,500-square-foot implied value over $354,000. Readings on Chicago home prices, new listing supply, and transaction momentum matter because they influence where the index may print, but only the Parcl Labs release itself decides the outcome. The deadline also matters: if no June 30 data is released by July 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market falls back to the most recently published data.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$51K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 14% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before resolution, readers should check the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index page for Chicago, IL and confirm the June 30, 2026 publication, since that is the source of truth named in the rules. The key detail is not an outside estimate of Chicago housing prices, but the published price-per-square-foot value and the market’s own multiplication rule that turns it into a median home value. If the June 30 release is delayed or missing, the fallback rule says the market resolves from the latest available data by July 10, 2026, so that cutoff is important to watch.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the median home value in Chicago be greater than $354,000 on June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 14%, $154.7 in 24h volume, and $390.6 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
13.5%
No
86.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 14%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

--
24h Vol
$59.5K
Liquidity
$40.5K
Spread
0%
6/12/2026
View market
-10.2%
24h Vol
$183.1K
Liquidity
$8.7K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View market
+0.1%
24h Vol
$279.9K
Liquidity
$1.9M
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market
+6.7%
24h Vol
$44.5K
Liquidity
$9.4K
Spread
5%
6/8/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$22.1K
Liquidity
$136.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market