
-1.2%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$146.1K
Liquidity
$71.6K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,171,000 and $1,204,000 on June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 12%, $51.9 in 24h volume, and $115.3 in liquidity.
Probability
12%
24h Volume
$51.9
Liquidity
$115.3
This market asks where Miami’s median home value will land on June 30, 2026, and whether it will fall inside a very specific price band: $1,171,000 to $1,204,000. Because the result is tied to an official Parcl Labs index release, the key question is not just where Miami home prices stand, but exactly what Parcl publishes for that date and how it maps into the bracketed range.
The event is centered on Miami, Florida, and uses the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City as the source of truth. Parcl will publish a price-per-square-foot figure on June 30, 2026, and the market will convert that index into a median home value by multiplying it by 2,100, which the rules define as Miami’s median square footage. If the calculated value lands exactly on the boundary between two brackets, the market resolves to the higher bracket.
There is uncertainty both about Miami housing conditions and about where the Parcl-derived calculation will place the final number. Readers may care because Miami’s housing market is closely watched for affordability, demand, and price momentum, and this contract compresses that broader story into one narrow outcome band. The market is essentially pricing disagreement over whether the city’s indexed home value will finish inside that specific range or outside it.
Anything that changes expectations for Miami home prices by late June 2026 can affect this market, especially developments that influence Parcl’s sales price index or market sentiment around local housing. That includes shifts in supply, buyer demand, financing conditions, and the broader direction of South Florida real estate, but only insofar as they shape the June 30 index print. The final resolution will be driven by the published Parcl Labs number, so the market can also move as that release date approaches and traders reassess what the official calculation is likely to show.
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-1.2%
24h Vol
$146.1K
Liquidity
$71.6K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 12% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The most important item to watch is the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City and the exact June 30, 2026 publication. If the June 30 data is delayed, the rules say the market falls back to the most recently published data after July 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, so readers should verify whether the June release appears on time. It is also worth checking the bracket logic carefully: the settlement uses Parcl’s price-per-square-foot figure multiplied by 2,100, and if the reported value sits exactly between two brackets, the higher range wins.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,171,000 and $1,204,000 on June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 12%, $51.9 in 24h volume, and $115.3 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
11.5%
No
88.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/39)
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 12%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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