crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-4.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
24h Vol
$335K
Liquidity
$107.6K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 9?. The market currently shows a live probability of 11%, $566.2 in 24h volume, and $6K in liquidity.
Probability
11%
24h Volume
$566.2
Liquidity
$6K
This market asks a very specific Bitcoin price question: whether BTC/USDT will close in Binance’s 1-minute candle between $64,000 and $66,000 at noon ET on June 9. Because the settlement uses one exchange, one trading pair, and one exact timestamp, the result can differ from headline Bitcoin prices seen elsewhere.
The event centers on Bitcoin and the BTC/USDT market on Binance, with resolution tied to the 12:00 p.m. ET 1-minute candle on June 9, 2026. The market resolves “Yes” only if Binance’s reported close price lands inside the $64,000 to $66,000 band; if the close is outside that range, it resolves “No.” If the close falls exactly on a boundary between brackets, the market rule says the higher range bracket wins, so readers should pay attention to how the market defines the cutoff.
Bitcoin can move sharply around any specific timestamp, and the chosen range is narrow enough that small intraday swings can change the outcome. Traders may disagree about whether Bitcoin will be trading near that level by the noon ET snapshot, especially since this market ignores prices on other exchanges and looks only at Binance BTC/USDT. The uncertainty is not just about Bitcoin’s direction, but about whether it will be inside this exact band at the exact minute used for settlement.
Any sharp move in BTC/USDT on Binance before the June 9 noon ET candle can change the odds quickly, especially if price approaches the $64,000 or $66,000 edges. Since the market uses a single 1-minute close, even brief volatility around the timestamp matters more than the day’s broader trend. The live pricing can also shift if traders update their view of how tightly Bitcoin is likely to trade into that window.
The current market price implies roughly a 11% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-4.9%
24h Vol
$335K
Liquidity
$107.6K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is the settlement source: Binance BTC/USDT, using the 1-minute candle close at 12:00 ET on June 9, 2026, not a different exchange, not a different pair, and not an average price. Readers should check the exact close value and how Binance formats the candle data on the date in question, since the market rules say the reported value determines the outcome. The main ambiguity risk is substituting another Bitcoin reference price, so the source-of-truth here matters more than general market headlines.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 9?. The market currently shows a live probability of 11%, $566.2 in 24h volume, and $6K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
10.5%
No
89.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 11%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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