crypto
🔥 Hot⚡ Tight
63%
+9.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
24h Vol
$291.8K
Liquidity
$30.1K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 8?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $1.5K in 24h volume, and $8.6K in liquidity.
Probability
3%
24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$8.6K
This market asks a very specific Bitcoin price question: will BTC/USDT on Binance close at a value between $68,000 and $70,000 at 12:00 p.m. ET on June 8, 2026? Because the outcome depends on one minute candle from one exchange at one exact time, small differences in pricing or timing can decide the result.
The title is about Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market value, and the range between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 8. Resolution is not based on an average across exchanges or on Bitcoin’s daily high or low; it is based only on the final ‘Close’ price of the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 ET on that date. If the reported value lands exactly on a bracket boundary, the market rules say it resolves to the higher range bracket.
Bitcoin often trades across many venues at slightly different prices, so a narrow range tied to one exchange and one minute can be uncertain even when the broader market looks calm. Readers may care because this kind of market captures a very precise snapshot of Bitcoin’s price at a fixed time, and the disagreement is really about whether Binance’s noon candle will end inside that band. The market is especially sensitive to short-term volatility, which means even modest price moves near the deadline can matter.
The most important drivers are Bitcoin’s immediate spot-market moves in the minutes before noon ET, along with any sharp swing in BTC/USDT on Binance itself. Because the rule uses a single 1-minute candle, a brief spike, wick, or pullback around 12:00 ET can change the outcome even if prices rebound right after. Liquidity conditions on Binance, broader crypto sentiment, and fast moves triggered by macro or market-wide headlines can all matter if they hit the market near the cutoff.
The current market price implies roughly a 3% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+9.6%
24h Vol
$291.8K
Liquidity
$30.1K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketBefore the deadline, readers should check the market’s exact source of truth: Binance BTC/USDT with 1m candles selected, using the 12:00 ET candle close on June 8, 2026. The key ambiguity to avoid is assuming a different exchange, a different trading pair, or a different time zone will count, because the rules explicitly say they will not. If the value sits near a bracket edge, the rule about rounding to the higher bracket becomes important, so the precise reported close should be verified rather than estimated.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 8?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $1.5K in 24h volume, and $8.6K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
2.6%
No
97.4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 3%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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