crypto
🔥 Hot⚡ Tight
63%
+9.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
24h Vol
$291.8K
Liquidity
$30.1K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 9?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $1.2K in 24h volume, and $6.8K in liquidity.
Probability
3%
24h Volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$6.8K
This market asks whether Bitcoin’s Binance BTC/USDT price will land in a very specific band — $68,000 to $70,000 — at the noon ET 1-minute candle on June 9. Because the range is narrow and the timestamp is exact, even a small move in BTC can flip the result, which makes the market worth watching right up to the deadline.
The outcome is tied to the final "Close" price of Binance’s BTC/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 ET on the date in the title, not to Bitcoin’s price on other exchanges, other trading pairs, or a later candle. If that Binance close is between $68,000 and $70,000, the market resolves Yes; if it falls outside that band, it resolves No. If the price lands exactly on a bracket boundary, the market uses the higher range bracket, so readers should pay attention to the precise binning rule.
Bitcoin can trade close to round-number levels without staying there, and a two-thousand-dollar window is tight enough that normal intraday volatility matters. The market is effectively pricing disagreement about whether BTC will be sitting in that particular price corridor at one fixed moment, using Binance’s own data as the source of truth. The exact exchange and candle time matter because a move on other venues, or even a nearby minute, would not count unless it appears in Binance’s 1-minute close at noon ET.
Any sharp Bitcoin move into or out of the $68,000-$70,000 zone before the noon ET candle can change the outcome, especially if it happens in the last minutes before resolution. News that shifts broader crypto sentiment, sudden volatility in BTC/USDT on Binance, or a fast rejection at a nearby round level can all matter because the market is not about a daily average — it is about one specific minute’s close. Liquidity conditions near the deadline can also matter, since thin trading or a fast spike can push the final close across a bracket.
Related markets
+9.6%
24h Vol
$291.8K
Liquidity
$30.1K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 3% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market closes, readers should check the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles with the exchange’s time display set to ET and confirm the 12:00 candle’s close, since that is the sole resolution source. It is also important to verify the exact range rules: this market resolves by the closing price, not the high, low, or a spot price from another platform, and boundary values go to the higher bracket. The main ambiguity risk is confusing Binance’s BTC/USDT candle with prices from other exchanges or with a different minute, so the settlement should be judged only from the listed Binance chart and timestamp.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 9?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $1.2K in 24h volume, and $6.8K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
3.1%
No
97%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 3%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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