crypto
😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
0%
-5.2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
24h Vol
$335K
Liquidity
$108.5K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 9?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $1.2K in 24h volume, and $6K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$6K
This market is about a very specific Bitcoin price check: whether BTC/USDT on Binance lands inside the $70,000 to $72,000 band at the noon ET 1-minute candle on June 9. Because the rule uses one exchange, one trading pair, and one exact candle close, the result can differ from prices seen elsewhere on that day.
The event asks whether the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 ET on June 9 closes between $70,000 and $72,000, inclusive of the market’s bracket rules. The title uses Bitcoin’s dollar price, but the resolution source is not a blended index or another exchange; it is the Binance spot pair BTC/USDT, specifically the candle close shown with the 1m chart and Candles view. If the close lands exactly on a boundary between brackets, the market rules say it resolves to the higher range bracket.
Bitcoin can trade through large ranges quickly, so even a single minute’s closing price at a fixed time can fall inside or outside a narrow band. Readers may care because this market isolates one precise snapshot rather than the day’s high, low, or average, which makes the outcome sensitive to short-term volatility and exchange-specific pricing. The disagreement being priced is not about Bitcoin’s long-run direction, but about whether Binance’s noon candle on that date will print in this exact zone.
Any move in BTC/USDT during the minutes leading into 12:00 ET can matter, especially if the market is already hovering near the $70,000 or $72,000 edges. Fast shifts around the hourly turnover, sudden volatility on crypto venues, or a sharp move in Bitcoin across major exchanges could push the Binance candle close in or out of the target band. Because the rule keys off one exchange and one minute, even a brief spike or pullback close to noon can change the result.
The current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-5.2%
24h Vol
$335K
Liquidity
$108.5K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketBefore the deadline, check the market’s stated source of truth: Binance BTC/USDT with the 1m candle and the exact 12:00 ET close on June 9. The most important ambiguity risk is confusing Binance’s price with another exchange, a different pair such as BTC/USD, or a different time window such as the day’s close instead of the noon candle. Readers should also verify how the market handles boundary values, since an exact match on a bracket edge is resolved to the higher bracket under the rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 9?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $1.2K in 24h volume, and $6K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
0.6%
No
99.4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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