crypto
😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
0%
-5.2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
24h Vol
$335K
Liquidity
$108.5K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 9?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $816.9 in 24h volume, and $8.6K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$816.9
Liquidity
$8.6K
This market asks whether Bitcoin’s Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at noon ET on June 9 will close inside a narrow $2,000 band, from $74,000 to $76,000. Because the rule uses one specific exchange, one trading pair, and one minute of trading, even small moves around that timestamp can determine the outcome.
The event is tied to Bitcoin, the largest crypto asset by market value, and to Binance’s BTC/USDT spot market. Resolution depends on the final "Close" price of the 1-minute candle labeled 12:00 in the ET timezone on the date in the title; if that close is at or above $74,000 and at or below $76,000, the market resolves Yes, unless the exact price lands on a bracket boundary, in which case the higher range bracket applies. The deadline shown on the page is June 9, 2026 at 16:00 UTC, and the source of truth is the Binance chart with 1m candles selected.
This market is about a very specific price window, so the main uncertainty is not whether Bitcoin is broadly strong or weak, but whether it lands in that exact range at one fixed minute. Traders may disagree on how much volatility Bitcoin will show into the date, whether price will be above or below the band, and whether intraday movement will be calm enough for a noon close to sit inside it. The fact that the rule uses Binance BTC/USDT rather than another exchange also matters, because different venues can show slightly different prices at the same moment.
Any move that pushes Bitcoin toward or away from the $74,000 to $76,000 band before the noon ET candle closes can change the market’s odds. Because the market is resolved from a single one-minute Binance candle, sharp swings, thin liquidity around the timestamp, or a quick burst of buying or selling close to noon matter more than the day’s broader trend. Differences between Binance pricing and other exchanges will not matter unless they affect the Binance BTC/USDT close itself.
Related markets
-5.2%
24h Vol
$335K
Liquidity
$108.5K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify the exact resolution rule on the market page: the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle, the noon ET timestamp, and the bracket rule for prices that fall exactly on a boundary. The key source is the Binance chart at the specified pair and timeframe, not a general BTC price page and not prices from another exchange or pair. Because the outcome depends on one minute of data, the main ambiguity risk is timezone handling and which candle Binance displays for 12:00 ET on the stated date.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 9?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $816.9 in 24h volume, and $8.6K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
0.7%
No
99.4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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