crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-4.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
24h Vol
$335K
Liquidity
$107.6K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on June 9?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $609.6 in 24h volume, and $14K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$609.6
Liquidity
$14K
This market asks whether Bitcoin’s Binance BTC/USDT price will finish above $76,000 at the 12:00 ET candle on June 9, 2026. It is a narrow price check, not a general question about where Bitcoin trades during the day, so the exact Binance minute candle matters a lot.
The outcome is based on the final "Close" price for the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at 12:00 ET on the date in the title. If that closing price is greater than $76,000, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No, and an exact borderline value is handled by the market rules as written. The key reference is Binance spot BTC/USDT with the 1m candle view, not Coinbase, CME, a Bitcoin index, or any other exchange.
Bitcoin can trade at different levels across exchanges and even move sharply within minutes, so a specific timestamp and a specific venue create a real point of uncertainty. Traders watching this market are effectively pricing whether BTC will be above or below a round threshold at a very precise moment, which can be affected by fast intraday moves, broader crypto sentiment, or exchange-specific pricing differences. Because the title uses a hard price level, the market is especially sensitive to small swings around the cutoff.
The biggest price drivers are abrupt BTC moves near the noon ET timestamp, especially if Bitcoin is hovering close to $76,000. Liquidity conditions on Binance, broad market volatility, and any sudden crypto-wide move can all push the 1-minute close across or below the line. Since the resolution is tied to one exchange and one exact candle, even a brief wick or last-minute move on Binance can matter more than the broader day’s price action.
The current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-4.9%
24h Vol
$335K
Liquidity
$107.6K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketBefore the market resolves, readers should verify the exact date, the 12:00 ET candle, and that the source of truth is Binance BTC/USDT with the 1-minute chart selected. The important detail is the candle’s final Close, not the day’s high, low, average, or prices from other exchanges. Because the rule says the market uses Binance and only Binance, any mismatch in pair, timeframe, or timezone can change how the outcome is read.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on June 9?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $609.6 in 24h volume, and $14K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
1.1%
No
99%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
+15.5%
24h Vol
$269.4K
Liquidity
$32.4K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View market+8%
24h Vol
$83.4K
Liquidity
$82K
Spread
1%
1/1/2027
View market
+28%
24h Vol
$85.3K
Liquidity
$14.1K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View market+30%
24h Vol
$404.5K
Liquidity
$23.7K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View market-16.5%
24h Vol
$44.6K
Liquidity
$17.8K
Spread
2%
6/7/2026
View market