crypto
🔥 Hot⚡ Tight
58%
+17.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
24h Vol
$280.9K
Liquidity
$18.9K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 86%, $2.8K in 24h volume, and $7.9K in liquidity.
Probability
86%
24h Volume
$2.8K
Liquidity
$7.9K
This market asks whether Bitcoin’s Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle will close below $64,000 at 12:00 ET on June 7, 2026. The date and the exchange-specific price source matter because Bitcoin can trade at slightly different levels across venues, and this market uses one very specific timestamp and feed.
The question is not about Bitcoin’s average price during the day or its price on another exchange. It resolves from the final "Close" price on Binance’s BTC/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 ET on the date in the title, with a "Yes" if that close is less than $64,000 and "No" otherwise. If the price lands exactly on a boundary between brackets, the rules say to use the higher range bracket, so readers should pay close attention to how Binance displays that minute candle.
Bitcoin often trades near round-number levels like $64,000, and small moves around a fixed cutoff can change the outcome. This market is also sensitive to source-of-truth differences: a price on Coinbase, Kraken, or a broader index may not match Binance’s BTC/USDT candle, so the disagreement here is really about where Binance prints at a precise moment.
Anything that pushes BTC higher or lower into the noon ET candle can change the outcome, especially sharp moves in the hours leading up to 12:00 ET on June 7. That includes crypto-wide volatility, large spot or derivatives flows, and market reactions to ETF, regulation, or macro headlines if they arrive before the cutoff. Because the rule keys off one minute, even a brief spike or wick around noon can matter more than the broader day’s trend.
The current market price implies roughly a 86% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+17.8%
24h Vol
$280.9K
Liquidity
$18.9K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCheck the Binance BTC/USDT market with the 1m candle view and make sure you are looking at 12:00 ET on June 7, not another timezone or another trading pair. The resolution source is Binance’s displayed close for that candle, so the main ambiguity risk is confusing a different exchange, a different timeframe, or the wrong minute. If Binance’s charting display is unclear, the final determination should still follow the market’s stated rules rather than outside price references.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 86%, $2.8K in 24h volume, and $7.9K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
86%
No
14.1%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 86%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
-0.4%
24h Vol
$192K
Liquidity
$75.6K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View market--
24h Vol
$119.6K
Liquidity
$8.2K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View market+5.5%
24h Vol
$155K
Liquidity
$72.9K
Spread
2%
1/1/2027
View market
+7.8%
24h Vol
$60.4K
Liquidity
$26.5K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View market+15.5%
24h Vol
$125.8K
Liquidity
$10.7K
Spread
9%
6/8/2026
View market