crypto
🔥 Hot⚡ Tight
55%
+18.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
24h Vol
$275K
Liquidity
$19.2K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on June 6?. The market currently shows a live probability of 41%, $553.8 in 24h volume, and $3.1K in liquidity.
Probability
41%
24h Volume
$553.8
Liquidity
$3.1K
This market asks whether Ethereum’s ETH/USDT price on Binance will be below $1,600 at the noon ET candle on June 6. Because it keys off one specific exchange and one specific minute candle, the outcome can differ from other ETH prices people see elsewhere.
The question is tied to Ethereum, the native asset of the Ethereum network, and to Binance’s ETH/USDT trading pair. Resolution depends on the final “Close” price of the 1-minute candle for 12:00 in the ET timezone on June 6, using the Binance chart rules stated in the market description; if that close is under $1,600, the answer is Yes, and otherwise it is No. Readers should note that this is not a broader average price for Ethereum and not a check against Coinbase, Kraken, or any other venue.
ETH can trade differently across exchanges and even from minute to minute, so a single timestamp can sit near a round-number threshold like $1,600. That makes the market sensitive to short-lived volatility, order-book pressure, and any news that changes crypto sentiment around the deadline. The current market balance shows meaningful disagreement about whether ETH will finish that exact Binance candle above or below the cutoff.
Price moves are most likely if ETH makes a sharp intraday swing near the noon ET window, especially if it is already trading close to $1,600. Big changes in broader crypto risk appetite, sudden volatility in Bitcoin, or exchange-specific trading activity on Binance can matter because the rule uses Binance’s own ETH/USDT candle. A quick move just before 12:00 ET can be enough to change the recorded close even if the price later rebounds.
The current market price implies roughly a 41% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+18.2%
24h Vol
$275K
Liquidity
$19.2K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 ET on June 6, since that exact close decides the market. Make sure you are looking at the correct pair, the correct exchange, the 1-minute timeframe, and the ET timezone, because nearby candles or other exchanges do not count. The market rules also say that if the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, it resolves to the higher bracket, so the exact close matters when the price is right on the boundary.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on June 6?. The market currently shows a live probability of 41%, $553.8 in 24h volume, and $3.1K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
40.9%
No
59.1%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 41%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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