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Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$159.9K
Liquidity
$52K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?. The market currently shows a live probability of 97%, $332.8 in 24h volume, and $3.5K in liquidity.
Probability
97%
24h Volume
$332.8
Liquidity
$3.5K
This market asks whether the Reserve Bank of Australia will leave the cash rate target unchanged after its June 2026 meeting. The cash rate is the RBA’s main policy rate, so even a routine hold or an unexpected move matters for mortgages, borrowing costs, and the broader Australian economy.
The event is the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June 16, 2026 meeting, and the question is whether the target for the cash rate is different from the level in place before that meeting. A “Yes” result means no change to the target rate; a “No” result means the RBA announces a cut or hike. The market resolves from the RBA’s official post-meeting release, and if no decision is issued by the end of the next scheduled meeting, it resolves to the “No Change” bracket under the market rules.
RBA meetings are closely watched because the board can keep rates steady or adjust them in response to inflation, growth, and labor-market conditions. Even when a pause is expected, there is still uncertainty around the exact decision until the statement is published, which is what this market is pricing. The question matters because the RBA’s announcement is the source of truth, not commentary or speculation beforehand.
The price can move if the RBA calendar or meeting schedule changes, if the bank releases a statement that clearly signals a rate decision earlier than expected, or if the official June 16 media release confirms a change or a hold. Any language in the release that specifies the target cash rate is the key event for settlement. Because the market is already heavily tilted toward “Yes,” a surprise policy move would be the main reason for a sharp repricing.
The current market price implies roughly a 97% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$159.9K
Liquidity
$52K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketBefore resolution, readers should check the official Reserve Bank of Australia board meeting schedule and the June 16, 2026 media release, since those are the designated sources for this market. The important detail is the exact target for the cash rate after the meeting, not market commentary or secondary coverage. If the RBA does not issue a decision by the next scheduled meeting, the market rules say it resolves to “No Change,” so the timing of the official announcement matters as much as the content.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?. The market currently shows a live probability of 97%, $332.8 in 24h volume, and $3.5K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
97%
No
3.1%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 16, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 97%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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