
--
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
24h Vol
$95.6K
Liquidity
$285.1K
Spread
0%
4/30/2027
View marketWorld
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? . The market currently shows a live probability of 13%, $29.6K in 24h volume, and $31.2K in liquidity.
Probability
13%
24h Volume
$29.6K
Liquidity
$31.2K
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? . The market currently shows a live probability of 13%, $29.6K in 24h volume, and $31.2K in liquidity.
Track live world event prediction markets focused on geopolitics, international relations, global conflicts, diplomacy, and major worldwide developments.
Yes
12.5%
No
87.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 18, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement. The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify. A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement. A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify. The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$95.6K
Liquidity
$285.1K
Spread
0%
4/30/2027
View marketProbability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 13%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

--
24h Vol
$574.8K
Liquidity
$914.1K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market
-0.2%
24h Vol
$111K
Liquidity
$59.8K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
+6.5%
24h Vol
$521.3K
Liquidity
$92.7K
Spread
1%
6/30/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$45.5K
Liquidity
$59.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
+0.5%
24h Vol
$72.7K
Liquidity
$206.6K
Spread
0%
10/4/2026
View market