
+2.2%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
24h Vol
$4.3M
Liquidity
$554.7K
Spread
0%
6/15/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $237.6K in 24h volume, and $11.6K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$237.6K
Liquidity
$11.6K
This market asks whether the next in-person meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin will take place in South Korea during the market window. It is a tightly defined location question, so even a brief handshake or direct exchange in the country would matter, while appearances in the same venue without interaction would not.
The title names Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin, two figures whose meetings are often treated as signals about U.S.-Russia relations and major geopolitical issues. Here, the specific outcome is not simply whether they meet, but whether the next qualifying meeting happens in South Korea at any point from September 30 through June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting that meets the market’s definition happens in that period, the market resolves to “No meeting by June 30.”
There is uncertainty because Trump and Putin may attend overlapping international events, diplomatic summits, or one-off bilateral encounters in several possible locations, and the market is asking whether South Korea is the place where the next direct interaction occurs. South Korea matters because it is a plausible host for high-level summit diplomacy in the region, but the market does not require a formal state visit; any in-person interaction between the two named individuals would count. The main disagreement being priced is not just whether a meeting happens, but where it happens and whether it qualifies under the market’s strict definition.
Price can move if there are official announcements, schedule changes, or credible reports that Trump and Putin may both attend the same event in South Korea, since that would increase the chance of a qualifying meeting there. It can also move if another country is confirmed as the more likely venue for their next encounter, or if one of the two leaders cancels travel plans that had made a South Korea meeting plausible. Because the rules count direct personal interaction, reports about a summit, bilateral sit-down, handshake, or even a short exchange would matter much more than vague references to both being at the same conference.
Related markets

+2.2%
24h Vol
$4.3M
Liquidity
$554.7K
Spread
0%
6/15/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should watch the exact location and timing of any Trump-Putin encounter, not just whether both men appear at the same summit or in the same city. The resolution depends on credible reporting and on the market’s own interaction rule, so a shared event without direct contact will not qualify. The end date is June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, and if there is no qualifying meeting by then the result is “No meeting by June 30,” so the key thing to verify is whether the interaction happened in South Korea within that window.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $237.6K in 24h volume, and $11.6K in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

+6%
24h Vol
$304.3K
Liquidity
$92.8K
Spread
1%
6/30/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$1.5M
Liquidity
$850K
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View market
-0.5%
24h Vol
$1.5M
Liquidity
$847.3K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$52.3K
Liquidity
$411.9K
Spread
0%
4/30/2027
View market
--
24h Vol
$92.5K
Liquidity
$2.2M
Spread
0%
11/7/2028
View market