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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $359 in 24h volume, and $735.6K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$359
Liquidity
$735.6K
This market asks whether Wes Moore will become the Democratic Party’s nominee for president in 2028. Moore is the governor of Maryland and a nationally known Democratic figure, so the question is whether he can turn that profile into a successful nomination campaign if he runs. The market stays open until the party’s 2028 presidential nomination is settled, with the result tied to official Democratic Party sources.
The exact outcome here is simple: “Yes” if Wes Moore wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic nomination for U.S. president, and “No” otherwise. The resolution does not depend on polling, media speculation, or whether Moore is seen as a frontrunner along the way; it depends on whether he is the named nominee under the Democratic Party’s official process. The market’s end date is election day in 2028, but the practical resolution point could come earlier if the party formally chooses its nominee at the convention or through another official nomination mechanism.
There is real uncertainty because presidential nomination races are shaped by endorsements, early state results, debate performances, donor support, and whether a potential candidate actually enters the contest. Wes Moore is a well-known Democratic governor with a national profile, but that does not mean he is guaranteed to seek the nomination or succeed if he does. The market is pricing the gap between his visibility and the much harder task of winning delegate support inside the party.
Statements from Moore about whether he is running, building a campaign team, or seeking national support would be especially important. So would official developments in the Democratic nomination process, such as endorsements from major party figures, early primary or caucus momentum, delegate counts, or any convention outcome that makes him the party’s chosen nominee. Because the market resolves only if he wins the nomination and accepts it, changes in the official nominee lineup or an alternate candidate emerging as the party’s choice would also matter.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should watch the Democratic Party’s official nomination process and the final source of truth named in the market rules: a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. The key question is not just whether Moore remains a prominent name, but whether he is formally selected and accepts the 2028 nomination. One important wrinkle is that if the party replaces its nominee before election day, that does not change this market unless Wes Moore is the person who ultimately wins and accepts the nomination under the official party record.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $359 in 24h volume, and $735.6K in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
1.3%
No
98.8%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Nov 7, 2028. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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