economy
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $439.4K in 24h volume, and $215.4K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$439.4K
Liquidity
$215.4K
This market asks whether Yonhy Lescano will be the winner of Peru’s 2026 presidential election. It is worth watching because the rules tie the outcome to the official election result, including a possible runoff, so the question is not just whether he runs but whether he emerges as the final certified winner.
The title names Yonhy Lescano, a Peruvian politician who has been a national-level presidential candidate before, and the event is Peru’s general election scheduled for April 12, 2026. The market resolves to “Yes” only if Lescano is the listed winner of the next Peruvian presidential election, including any second round; otherwise it resolves to “No” or, if the result is still not definitively known by October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, to “Other.”
Peru’s presidential race can be unsettled because no one knows yet who will make the runoff, how coalitions will form, or whether a candidate like Lescano can gather enough support across the country’s fragmented electorate. Readers may care because the market is specifically testing whether a familiar political figure can convert name recognition into an actual national victory, which is a very different question from simply being a prominent candidate.
The price can move if Lescano formally enters the race, is endorsed by a major party or coalition, or begins to appear in credible polling as a serious contender for the first round or a runoff position. It can also move if official candidate registration rules, eligibility disputes, alliance talks, or other election-related decisions change the field in a way that helps or hurts his path to victory.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe most important source of truth here is the official result from Peru’s electoral authorities, especially ONPE and the JNE, because the market says any ambiguity will be settled by those official results. Readers should watch whether the election is decided in one round or a runoff, whether Lescano is actually on the ballot, and whether the final certified winner is announced before the October 31, 2026 fallback deadline. If official results are delayed or disputed, that timing rule becomes especially important for how the market resolves.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $439.4K in 24h volume, and $215.4K in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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