crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-3.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
24h Vol
$376.6K
Liquidity
$115K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 84%, $14.5K in 24h volume, and $13.6K in liquidity.
Probability
84%
24h Volume
$14.5K
Liquidity
$13.6K
This market asks a very specific price question about XRP: will Binance’s XRP/USDT 1-minute candle at 12:00 p.m. ET on June 12 finish above $1.00? Because the resolution depends on one exchange, one trading pair, and one exact minute, the outcome can differ from what other crypto sites or exchanges show at the same time.
The event being tracked is whether XRP trades above the $1.00 line on June 12, using Binance’s XRP/USDT market and the 12:00 ET one-minute candle close. The key names here are XRP, the Ripple-linked token, and Binance, which the rules treat as the sole source of truth. If Binance’s candle closes above $1.00, the market resolves Yes; if it closes at or below $1.00, it resolves No.
A round-number threshold like $1.00 is a natural focal point in crypto because it is easy to watch and often acts as a psychological level for traders. This market is not asking whether XRP is broadly strong or weak over the day; it is asking about one precise closing print at one minute on one exchange, which creates uncertainty even if the broader market trend looks clear.
The main things that can move this market are short-term XRP price swings on Binance in the minutes leading into noon ET, especially if trading is active around the $1.00 level. Large moves in the broader crypto market, sudden changes in XRP-specific sentiment, or a quick wick that pushes the 1-minute candle above or below the threshold can all matter because the rule uses the candle close rather than an average price. Since the market is tied to a single timestamp, even brief volatility around that minute can change the result.
The current market price implies roughly a 84% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-3.4%
24h Vol
$376.6K
Liquidity
$115K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketReaders should check Binance’s XRP/USDT chart with the 1-minute timeframe and verify the candle labeled 12:00 ET on June 12, since that exact close determines the outcome. The description makes clear that other exchanges, other timeframes, and other XRP pair prices do not control resolution, so the source-of-truth rule matters more than headline crypto prices. The deadline is June 12 at noon ET, which corresponds to 16:00 UTC, and the main ambiguity risk is whether the candle close is recorded exactly as Binance displays it for that minute.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 84%, $14.5K in 24h volume, and $13.6K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
83.5%
No
16.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 84%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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