crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-4.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
24h Vol
$334.6K
Liquidity
$99.7K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 16%, $28.9K in 24h volume, and $13.4K in liquidity.
Probability
16%
24h Volume
$28.9K
Liquidity
$13.4K
This market asks a very specific price question about XRP: whether the Binance XRP/USDT price will finish above $1.20 on June 12, 2026 at the 12:00 p.m. ET one-minute candle. That makes it less about XRP’s broad trend and more about one exact minute on one exchange, so the final outcome can hinge on a brief move around midday.
XRP is the native token associated with the XRP Ledger ecosystem and is one of the larger cryptocurrencies by market attention, which is why a simple threshold like $1.20 can draw interest. The resolution is tied only to Binance’s XRP/USDT 1-minute candle at 12:00 ET on the date named in the title, and the market resolves Yes only if that candle’s final Close is strictly above $1.20. Prices on other exchanges, other pairs, or other timestamps do not matter for this page.
The uncertainty here is not whether XRP is generally volatile, but whether Binance’s spot price will be above a round-number level at one precise moment. Traders often care about these line-in-the-sand thresholds because small bursts of buying or selling, exchange-specific flows, or broader crypto sentiment can push the candle just over or just under the cutoff. The market is effectively pricing disagreement about whether XRP can hold a modest move above $1.20 at that specific noon close.
Anything that changes short-term demand for XRP before the noon ET candle can matter, especially broad crypto swings, exchange-specific trading activity, or headlines that affect sentiment toward large-cap tokens. Because the rule uses Binance’s exact 1-minute Close, brief spikes, thin liquidity, or a quick reversal in the minutes around noon could change the result even if the broader day later looks different. The spread and trading activity on the market page also suggest participants are focused on a fairly tight threshold rather than a long-horizon view.
Related markets
-4.8%
24h Vol
$334.6K
Liquidity
$99.7K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 16% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key thing to verify is the source-of-truth rule: Binance XRP/USDT on the 1-minute candle ending at 12:00 p.m. ET, using the candle’s Close price, not an average, wick, or another exchange. The end time shown on the market is 2026-06-12T16:00:00Z, which corresponds to noon Eastern Time, so readers should check the exact candle at that timestamp and not a nearby minute. If there is any ambiguity, it will likely be around timezone conversion, candle timestamp labeling, or whether Binance displays the final Close after the minute completes.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 16%, $28.9K in 24h volume, and $13.4K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
16%
No
84%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 16%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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