crypto
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0%
-3.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
24h Vol
$376.6K
Liquidity
$115K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, and $4.7K in liquidity.
Probability
4%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$4.7K
This market asks a very specific price question about XRP: will Binance show the XRP/USDT 1-minute candle at 12:00 p.m. ET on June 12 closing above $1.50? Because the outcome depends on one exchange, one trading pair, and one minute of trading, the exact timestamp matters as much as the headline threshold.
XRP is the digital asset tied to the Ripple ecosystem, and this contract does not use an average across exchanges or a daily close. It resolves from Binance’s XRP/USDT “Close” price on the 1-minute candle for 12:00 ET on the date in the title, so the answer is determined by that single source at that single minute. If that candle closes above $1.50, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No.
A $1.50 level is a clean round-number threshold that traders can easily understand, but the result here is narrower than a simple “where will XRP trade on June 12” question. The uncertainty comes from short-term volatility, especially because a one-minute Binance candle can move on fast order flow, broader crypto sentiment, or exchange-specific pricing. Readers should care less about a broad outlook on XRP and more about whether Binance’s noon ET candle lands above a precise line.
The biggest price moves for this market are likely to come from sudden swings in XRP itself, broad crypto market moves, or heavy trading around the noon ET window. Because the settlement uses a single 1-minute Binance candle, even a brief spike or dip around 12:00 p.m. ET can change the outcome. Thin liquidity around that minute, sudden volatility, or exchange-specific pricing differences could matter more here than a longer-term trend.
The current market price implies roughly a 4% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-3.4%
24h Vol
$376.6K
Liquidity
$115K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketBefore the market resolves, the key thing to verify is the exact Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle at 12:00 ET on June 12, using the site’s Candles view and the Close price. The title threshold is $1.50, but the rules make clear that the source of truth is Binance rather than other exchanges, other trading pairs, or a daily closing price. Any ambiguity should be checked against the listed resolution source and the minute-by-minute candle timestamp, since that is what determines the final answer.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, and $4.7K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
3.7%
No
96.3%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 4%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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