crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-3.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
24h Vol
$376.6K
Liquidity
$115K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, and $4.9K in liquidity.
Probability
3%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$4.9K
This market asks a very specific question about XRP’s short-term price action on Binance: will the XRP/USDT 1-minute candle at noon Eastern on June 12 close above $1.60? Because the resolution depends on one exact candle from one exchange, the market is narrower than a simple “will XRP be above $1.60 sometime that day” question. That makes the Binance reference and the noon ET timestamp the key details to watch.
The event is tied to XRP, the cryptocurrency associated with Ripple, and the XRP/USDT trading pair on Binance. The market resolves on June 12 using the 12:00 p.m. ET 1-minute candle’s final Close price, and it will be marked Yes only if that close is higher than $1.60. If the close is $1.60 or below, or if the specified source data does not support a higher close, the outcome is No.
XRP is a widely traded crypto asset, so even a small, time-specific price threshold can be uncertain heading into a particular minute of the trading day. Traders and observers may care because a move above or below $1.60 can reflect short-horizon momentum, exchange-liquidity conditions, or broader crypto market sentiment at that exact timestamp. The disagreement priced here is not about XRP’s long-run value, but about whether Binance’s quoted spot price will print above the threshold at one precise moment.
Any market move in XRP leading into noon ET can change the result, especially if price is hovering near $1.60 close to the deadline. Rapid changes in Bitcoin or the broader crypto market, exchange-driven volatility, or a sharp move in XRP/USDT on Binance could be enough to push the 1-minute close on one side of the line. Because the rule uses a single candle close rather than an average or daily high, even a brief spike or pullback in that minute matters.
The current market price implies roughly a 3% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-3.4%
24h Vol
$376.6K
Liquidity
$115K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketThe most important thing to verify is the exact source and timestamp: Binance XRP/USDT candles with the 1m interval selected, and the 12:00 ET candle on June 12. Readers should check that they are looking at Binance’s own candle close, not a different exchange, a different trading pair, or a different time zone. The market description also says price precision follows the Binance display, so the final judgment should use the source’s reported Close value for that minute and not another charting site’s interpretation.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, and $4.9K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
3.2%
No
96.8%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 3%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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