economy
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$791.5K
Liquidity
$1.5M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketEconomy
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $947.2 in 24h volume, and $6.4K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$947.2
Liquidity
$6.4K
This market asks whether the Bank of England will cut its Bank Rate by 25 basis points after the June 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting. It is tied to the BoE’s official June policy announcement, which matters because the decision sets the tone for UK borrowing costs, inflation management, and broader expectations for the economy.
The key event is the Bank of England’s June 2026 MPC meeting, with the summary scheduled for June 18, 2026. The market resolves based on how much the upper bound of the Bank Rate changes from the level before that meeting, and the available outcome here is specifically a 25-basis-point decrease. If the rate is changed by an amount not shown in the listed brackets, the rules say it will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution.
The outcome is uncertain because the Monetary Policy Committee can hold rates steady, cut them, or raise them depending on its view of inflation, growth, and financial conditions at the time of the meeting. Readers care because a rate cut would signal a shift in the Bank’s policy stance and can affect mortgage rates, business borrowing, sterling, and expectations for future meetings. The market is pricing disagreement over whether June will bring a cut and, if so, whether it will be exactly 25 basis points or something else.
The biggest price moves will come from any sign that the Bank of England is preparing a cut, such as language in the MPC statement, votes from committee members, or changes in the inflation and growth outlook presented around the meeting. Any official BoE release on June 18, 2026, is the primary driver, but credible reporting that anticipates the decision could also shift expectations before the statement lands. Because the rules allow rounding to the nearest 25 basis points, any surprise move that is not a standard quarter-point change could still resolve into the closest listed bracket.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$791.5K
Liquidity
$1.5M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, check the Bank of England’s official June 2026 MPC statement and the upcoming MPC dates page, since the rules name the official website as the primary source of truth. The important detail is the change in the upper bound of Bank Rate compared with the level before the meeting, not just the tone of the statement. One ambiguity to watch is the fallback rule: if no statement is released by the start of the next scheduled meeting, the market resolves to No change, so the publication timing matters as much as the policy decision itself.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $947.2 in 24h volume, and $6.4K in liquidity.
Track live economy prediction markets focused on inflation, recessions, GDP growth, labor markets, and major global economic developments.
Yes
0.5%
No
99.6%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 18, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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