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Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$540.9K
Liquidity
$259.9K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Discord IPO before 2027?. The market currently shows a live probability of 60%, $453.5K in 24h volume, and $1.8K in liquidity.
Probability
60%
24h Volume
$453.5K
Liquidity
$1.8K
This market asks whether Discord will complete a public stock offering before the end of 2026. It is centered on one of the best-known consumer internet platforms, so any filing, restructuring, or sale decision can matter a lot to the final outcome.
The question is simple: will Discord, the listed company named in the market, complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET? A qualifying IPO means the company’s shares are first sold to the public on a recognized stock exchange, and the market can resolve early if that happens before the deadline. If Discord is acquired, merges with another entity, or otherwise stops existing before resolution, the market is set to resolve to No.
Discord is a widely used communication platform with a strong brand, but an IPO has not been a foregone conclusion, which leaves room for disagreement about timing and strategy. Readers care because a public listing would be a major corporate milestone and would typically signal that the company has chosen to open its ownership to public investors rather than remain private. The market is pricing uncertainty about whether management will move toward an offering within the deadline, or whether the company will stay private or exit through another corporate event first.
The biggest moves would come from official company statements, an IPO filing, or credible reports that Discord has hired banks or begun concrete listing preparations. Price can also move if there are reports about a delay, a change in ownership plans, or a transaction that would make an IPO less likely before the cutoff date. Any announcement that clearly confirms a public listing on a recognized exchange before December 31, 2026 would be the most direct path to a Yes outcome.
The current market price implies roughly a 60% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
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24h Vol
$540.9K
Liquidity
$259.9K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketThe key items to check are the exact deadline, the definition of a qualifying IPO, and the resolution rule that uses official company announcements or credible news sources. Because the market resolves to No if Discord is acquired, merged, or ceases to exist before the deadline, any major corporate transaction matters just as much as an IPO filing. Readers should also note that the source of truth is a consensus of credible reporting, so ambiguous rumors or incomplete filings would not be enough on their own.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Discord IPO before 2027?. The market currently shows a live probability of 60%, $453.5K in 24h volume, and $1.8K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
59.8%
No
40.3%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 60%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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