
-45%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
24h Vol
$258.9K
Liquidity
$11.9K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $138.6 in 24h volume, and $6.8K in liquidity.
Probability
4%
24h Volume
$138.6
Liquidity
$6.8K
This market asks whether Elon Musk will post between 320 and 339 times on X during a defined one-week window in June 2026. It is worth watching because Musk’s posting pace can change quickly, and the final answer depends on a very specific tracker rather than a rough public impression of his activity.
The question is whether @elonmusk will have a total of 320 to 339 counted posts from June 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET through June 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. The market counts main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, while ordinary replies do not count unless they appear in the main feed in the way described by the rules. Resolution will use the Post Counter on xtracker.polymarket.com, with individual posts viewable through the Export Data function.
This market is pricing uncertainty around how active Elon Musk will be on X over a short, fixed period. Because the range is narrow, small changes in posting behavior can matter a lot: a burst of posts, a quieter stretch, or a mix of reposts and quote posts can push the final count into or out of the band. Readers care because Musk is a highly visible account and his posting frequency is often irregular rather than steady.
The main drivers are Musk’s own posting habits during the June 9–16 window. A sustained run of main-feed posts, quote posts, or reposts would make the 320–339 range more plausible, while a quieter week, fewer reposts, or a shift toward replies that do not count would make it less likely. Any change in how the tracker records posts could also matter, since the rules allow X itself to serve as a backup source if the tracker does not update correctly.
The current market price implies roughly a 4% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

-45%
24h Vol
$258.9K
Liquidity
$11.9K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketBefore the market resolves, check the exact time window: June 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET through June 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. The key source of truth is the tracker’s Post Counter at xtracker.polymarket.com, and the rules specify that deleted posts still count if the tracker captured them long enough, while community reposts do not. The main ambiguity to watch is classification—whether a post is a counted main-feed post, a quote post, a repost, or an excluded reply—because that can change the final total even when the content looks similar on X.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $138.6 in 24h volume, and $6.8K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
4.1%
No
95.9%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 16, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 4%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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