culture
😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
10%
-48%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
24h Vol
$271.1K
Liquidity
$8.9K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, and $52.2K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$52.2K
This market asks whether Elon Musk’s X account will land in a very specific posting band during a one-week window in June 2026. It is worth watching because the answer depends on how active Musk is on X over those exact dates, and the resolution rules count some post types but exclude others.
The question is whether @elonmusk will post between 40 and 59 times from June 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET through June 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. The market counts main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, while replies do not count unless they appear on the main feed in the way the tracker captures them. The result resolves using the “Post Counter” on xtracker.polymarket.com, with X itself as a backup source if the tracker is not updating correctly.
Elon Musk is one of the most visible and frequently watched accounts on X, so even a short posting window can be uncertain. The market is really pricing the question of whether his activity during that week will be unusually low, in a middle range, or more than the band specified here. Because the resolution hinges on exact counting rules, small differences in what is captured can matter.
Any visible change in Musk’s posting rhythm during the June 9–16 window can matter, especially if he starts posting much more or much less than usual. A burst of main-feed posts, quote posts, or reposts could push the count toward the upper end or beyond 59, while a quiet stretch would make the 40–59 range less likely. Since deleted posts still count if the tracker captures them quickly enough, short-lived posts can also affect the final tally.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-48%
24h Vol
$271.1K
Liquidity
$8.9K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketReaders should check the tracker’s Post Counter, since that is the primary resolution source and the exact counting rules are unusually specific. The key ambiguity to watch is which posts are included: main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts count, but replies generally do not, and community reposts are excluded. The market ends at 12:00 PM ET on June 16, 2026, so posts made after that cutoff should not affect the outcome.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, and $52.2K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 16, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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