culture
😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
10%
-46%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
24h Vol
$270.8K
Liquidity
$10.6K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $17.8K in 24h volume, and $45K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$17.8K
Liquidity
$45K
This market asks whether Elon Musk will post between 60 and 79 times on X during the window from June 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Because Musk is one of the platform’s most high-profile and frequently watched accounts, even a short stretch of posting activity can draw attention and create uncertainty about where his total will land.
The question is narrowly defined by post count, not by engagement or follower reaction. Only main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts count; replies do not count unless they appear as counted main-feed activity on the tracker, and deleted posts still count if they are captured in time. Resolution will use the “Post Counter” on xtracker.polymarket.com, with X itself serving as a backup source if the tracker does not update correctly.
Elon Musk’s account is unusual because his posting volume can vary a lot from week to week, and that makes a mid-range band like 60 to 79 posts genuinely uncertain. The market is effectively asking whether his activity over that seven-day span will be modest enough to stay below 60, busy enough to land in the target band, or active enough to go above it.
Any visible change in Musk’s posting rhythm during the June 9–16 window can move expectations quickly. A burst of main-feed posts, quote posts, or reposts pushes the total toward or above the range, while long quiet stretches or a pattern of replies that do not count would keep the number lower than traders may expect. Because deleted posts can still count if captured by the tracker, brief posts that disappear are also relevant.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-46%
24h Vol
$270.8K
Liquidity
$10.6K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketReaders should check the tracker’s running post counter, not just the raw X timeline, because the market follows the rules of the listed resolution source. The exact cutoff is June 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, so any posts after that point do not count. The main ambiguity risk is source handling: if the tracker misses or misclassifies an eligible post, the rules say X may be used as the secondary source, so the final count should be judged against those resolution rules rather than casual impressions.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $17.8K in 24h volume, and $45K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 16, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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Liquidity
$18.4K
Spread
0%
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