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Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$538.5K
Liquidity
$259.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of June 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $951.6 in 24h volume, and $12.7K in liquidity.
Probability
3%
24h Volume
$951.6
Liquidity
$12.7K
This market asks whether CME silver futures will print an unusually high official settlement: over $100 on the final trading day of June 2026. That is far above silver’s usual trading range, so the page is mainly tracking an extreme-price threshold tied to an official exchange benchmark rather than intraday moves.
The contract resolves by comparing the CME Group official settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures, also known by the ticker SI, on the last trading day in June 2026 against the $100 level. The Active Month is the nearest eligible CME delivery month in the silver cycle that is not the spot month, and only the official settlement published by CME counts. If that settlement is higher than $100, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No.
The uncertainty here is not about whether silver trades at all, but whether the exchange’s final official settlement for the relevant futures month will ever clear a very high round number by the deadline. Traders may care because silver is a widely followed precious-metal contract and the question turns on a specific CME methodology, not on casual price quotes. The market is effectively pricing how remote or plausible an extreme settlement would be by the end of June 2026.
The price can move if silver futures make a sustained and extraordinary run toward the $100 mark, especially as the deadline approaches and the Active Month rolls from one contract to the next. Changes in the selected Active Month, or in how the market interprets CME’s settlement publication for that day, can also matter because only that official number counts. The live order book here shows a wide gap between the bid and ask and a very low Yes price, which suggests the market is treating a June 2026 settlement above $100 as a highly unlikely outcome.
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24h Vol
$538.5K
Liquidity
$259.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 3% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before resolution, readers should check the CME settlement page for the Active Month on each eligible June trading day and confirm which contract month is active at that point. Weekends, holidays, and any day without an official CME settlement are ignored, so only published settlement days count. The key detail to verify at the end is the first official settlement shown for the relevant day, since later corrections do not affect this market’s outcome.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of June 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $951.6 in 24h volume, and $12.7K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
2.6%
No
97.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 3%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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