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Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$540.9K
Liquidity
$259.9K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $10.5K in 24h volume, and $14.7K in liquidity.
Probability
3%
24h Volume
$10.5K
Liquidity
$14.7K
This market asks whether the CME settlement price for the active Silver futures contract will finish June 2026 above $110 on the final trading day of the month. It is closely tied to the silver futures benchmark, which matters because CME settlement prices are the official reference used here, not intraday moves or headlines.
The event is about Silver futures on CME, ticker SI, and specifically the active month contract that CME designates at the time of the final trading day in June 2026. The market resolves "Yes" only if CME’s official settlement price for that active month is published above $110 on that day; otherwise it resolves "No." The rules also say only the first official settlement published for that trading day counts, and if June includes non-trading days, those are ignored.
The uncertainty is whether silver futures can reach an unusually high settlement level by the end of June 2026. Silver prices can be influenced by inflation expectations, industrial demand, dollar moves, and broader commodity sentiment, but this market is narrower than a general silver-price question because it keys off one CME contract and one official settlement print. Readers are effectively weighing whether that specific benchmark can cross a very high threshold by the end-of-month cutoff.
Any move in silver futures that changes the CME active month settlement toward or away from $110 can move this market, especially as June 2026 approaches and the final trading day becomes the only relevant checkpoint. Because the contract is tied to CME’s active month rules, changes in which delivery month is considered active can matter as much as price direction itself. A strong rally in precious metals, a sharp drop in the U.S. dollar, or market stress that lifts commodity prices could all make a $110 settlement more plausible, while a calm or weaker silver market would push the market toward "No."
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24h Vol
$540.9K
Liquidity
$259.9K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 3% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key item to verify is the official CME daily settlement page for Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026, since that exact published settlement is the source of truth. Readers should check which contract CME lists as the active month on that date, because the market does not use spot silver, intraday trading, or a later corrected value. The deadline is the June 30, 2026 end-of-month trading session window, and the main ambiguity risk is confusing the last traded price with the official settlement price or looking at the wrong contract month.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $10.5K in 24h volume, and $14.7K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
2.6%
No
97.4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 3%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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