
--
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$530.7K
Liquidity
$251.1K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $15.3K in 24h volume, and $13.9K in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$15.3K
Liquidity
$13.9K
This market asks a very specific question about the CME Silver futures contract: will the official settlement price for the active month be above $120 on the final trading day of June 2026? Because the answer depends on one exchange-published number on one trading day, it is more about contract mechanics and monthly pricing than about silver’s intraday swings.
The title refers to CME Silver futures, ticker SI, and the “active month” contract as defined in the market rules: the nearest delivery-cycle month that is not the spot month. For June 2026, the market resolves on the final trading day of that month using the CME’s official settlement price for that active-month contract, and the result is Yes only if that published settlement is above $120. Weekends, holidays, and days without an official CME settlement are ignored, and only the first-published settlement for that trading day counts.
The uncertainty here is whether silver futures can reach an extremely high settlement level by that specific June 2026 close. Traders following this page are effectively disagreeing about how far the active CME silver contract could move over the next year and whether the relevant June-end settlement will ever clear the $120 threshold. The market also reflects the difference between a simple price target and the exact settlement rule, since the final outcome depends on CME’s official methodology rather than an intraday high or last trade.
Price can move if the active-month silver contract trends toward or away from the $120 strike as June 2026 approaches, especially around macro events that tend to affect precious metals such as inflation data, central bank policy expectations, dollar strength, or broad risk sentiment. Because the settlement must come from the CME’s published daily figure, changes in the active contract rollover schedule can also matter if the market transitions between delivery months before the final June trading day. Any move that affects the June-end official settlement of the active month, not just the spot silver price, is the key driver here.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$530.7K
Liquidity
$251.1K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The most important thing to verify is the CME settlement page for the active month of SI on the final trading day of June 2026, since that published figure is the only source of truth for resolution. Readers should also confirm which contract month is the active month on that date, because the rules explicitly use CME’s delivery-cycle schedule and first position date to determine it. If the exchange revises figures later, this market still resolves from the first settlement price that was published for that day, so the initial CME posting matters most.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $15.3K in 24h volume, and $13.9K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
1.7%
No
98.4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

+13.7%
24h Vol
$161.2K
Liquidity
$178.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
-2%
24h Vol
$76.7K
Liquidity
$60.6K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$35.2K
Liquidity
$128.7K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
+0.3%
24h Vol
$21.2K
Liquidity
$29.8K
Spread
1%
Live
View market
-0.3%
24h Vol
$19.7K
Liquidity
$34.3K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market