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Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$538.5K
Liquidity
$259.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $4.8 in 24h volume, and $16.9K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$4.8
Liquidity
$16.9K
This market asks whether the CME settlement price for the active Silver futures contract will be above $140 on the final trading day of June 2026. It is tied to a very specific official benchmark, so the outcome depends on CME’s published settlement rather than where Silver trades during the day.
The contract is about CME Silver futures, ticker SI, and specifically the “Active Month” contract as defined by CME’s delivery cycle. For June 2026, the market resolves on the official CME settlement price for that active month on the last trading day of June, and it will be a Yes only if that published settlement is higher than $140. The rules also say that only June trading days with an official settlement count, and that the first published CME settlement for that day is the one that matters.
Silver futures are a major precious-metals benchmark, but the question here is not about silver broadly; it is about whether one particular CME settlement will end above a very high threshold. Because the market uses the exchange’s own settlement methodology and the active-month rollover rules, there is room for uncertainty about both the contract being referenced and the exact printed settlement on the final June session. Readers following this market are usually watching for how the futures curve, contract rollover timing, and CME’s official end-of-day pricing line up.
The price can move when silver futures themselves make a sharp move, especially if the active-month contract approaches the $140 level. Changes in the active month designation, or a switch from one delivery month to the next near the end of June, can also matter because the market keys off whichever contract is active under CME rules. Any late-session move that affects CME’s final published settlement, rather than the last trade, is especially relevant here.
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24h Vol
$538.5K
Liquidity
$259.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The most important thing to verify is CME’s daily settlement page for the active-month SI contract on the final trading day of June 2026, since that printed settlement is the source of truth. Readers should also check which contract month is active under CME’s delivery-cycle rules on that date, because the market does not use the spot month if it is no longer the active month. If CME later posts a correction, the market rules say the first published settlement for that trading day controls, so the initial official release is the key reference.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $4.8 in 24h volume, and $16.9K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
1.1%
No
99%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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