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Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$538.5K
Liquidity
$259.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 86%, $65 in 24h volume, and $4.7K in liquidity.
Probability
86%
24h Volume
$65
Liquidity
$4.7K
This market asks a simple but very specific question: will the official CME settlement price for the active Silver futures contract finish above $60 on the final trading day of June 2026? Silver is a widely watched precious metal, so the result will matter to anyone tracking commodity pricing, inflation sentiment, or moves in metals markets.
The contract is tied to CME Silver (SI) futures, but not just any Silver print: it uses the active month as defined by CME and resolves from the official CME settlement price for that contract on the last June 2026 trading day. In plain English, the market is asking whether CME’s published end-of-day settlement for the relevant Silver futures month will close above $60, not whether Silver trades above that level intraday. The deadline is the final trading day of June 2026, and days without a CME settlement print are ignored.
The uncertainty here is about where Silver futures will settle by late June 2026, not whether the metal can briefly touch a level during the session. That makes the market sensitive to shifts in precious-metals demand, dollar strength, interest-rate expectations, and any broader macro moves that can push futures higher or lower by the close. Because the threshold is a round-number price near the upper end of the range that traders watch, small changes in expectations can materially affect how this market is priced.
Anything that changes the outlook for Silver futures into late June 2026 can move this market, especially central bank signals, inflation data, and broad commodity risk sentiment. Since resolution depends on the CME settlement for the active month, traders will also watch which contract is active at that time and whether the final settlement print is above or below the $60 line. The market can react sharply to late-month moves in the underlying futures, because only the official daily settlement on the relevant trading day counts.
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24h Vol
$538.5K
Liquidity
$259.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 86% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify three things before this market resolves: the CME active month for Silver futures on the final June 2026 trading day, the official settlement price CME publishes for that contract, and whether that settlement is above $60. The rules are explicit that intraday prices, last trades, and later corrections do not control resolution; the first published CME settlement page print for that day does. The main ambiguity to watch for is contract rollover, since the active month can change as CME’s delivery cycle advances.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 86%, $65 in 24h volume, and $4.7K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
85.5%
No
14.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 86%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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