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Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$538.5K
Liquidity
$259.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 82%, $51.8 in 24h volume, and $1.4K in liquidity.
Probability
82%
24h Volume
$51.8
Liquidity
$1.4K
This market asks whether the CME settlement price for Silver futures, using the Active Month contract, will finish above $65 on the final trading day of June 2026. Because it keys off CME’s official settlement rather than an intraday print, the exact exchange methodology and the contract month in force on that date matter more than any headline move during the day.
The event is tied to CME Silver (SI) futures and resolves on the last trading day in June 2026, using the official settlement price for the Active Month contract. The Active Month is the nearest eligible delivery-cycle month that is not the spot month, so the specific contract being referenced can shift over time as CME rolls to the next eligible month. The market resolves Yes only if that published CME settlement is higher than $65; otherwise it resolves No.
Silver is a widely watched precious metal, and a $65 settlement level is a clear threshold that implies an unusually strong price move by futures-market standards. Traders and readers may disagree on whether macro forces, inflation expectations, industrial demand, or broader commodity volatility could carry the CME settlement above that line by late June 2026. The disagreement here is not about whether silver can move day to day, but whether the official settlement on that specific June trading day will clear the set price.
This market can move on any development that changes expectations for silver futures into late June 2026, especially large swings in the futures curve or a strong move in the Active Month contract around the settlement window. Changes in interest-rate expectations, the U.S. dollar, inflation sentiment, and precious-metals demand can matter because they often feed directly into silver pricing. It also matters which contract is the Active Month near resolution, since the market follows the CME’s designated contract for that date rather than a generic spot silver quote.
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24h Vol
$538.5K
Liquidity
$259.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 82% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, readers should check the CME Group settlement page for the Active Month Silver contract on each June trading day, especially the final trading day of the month. The key source of truth is the first official settlement price CME publishes for that day; later corrections do not count under these rules. It is also important to verify which contract month is active on the resolution date, since weekends, holidays, and any day without an official CME settlement are ignored.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 82%, $51.8 in 24h volume, and $1.4K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
81.5%
No
18.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 82%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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