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Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$540.9K
Liquidity
$259.9K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 53%, $169.5 in 24h volume, and $2K in liquidity.
Probability
53%
24h Volume
$169.5
Liquidity
$2K
This market asks whether CME Silver futures will settle above $70 on the final trading day of June 2026. It is worth watching because silver prices can move sharply on macroeconomic shifts, industrial-demand sentiment, and changes in precious-metals positioning, but the contract will be decided by one specific CME settlement print, not by intraday trading.
The underlying question is simple: on the last CME trading day in June 2026, will the official settlement price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures be higher than $70? The market name refers to CME Silver futures, and the rules say only the Active Month contract’s official CME settlement price counts. The deadline is the final trading day of June 2026, with the market set to resolve from the CME settlement page when that day’s Active Month settlement is first published.
Silver often trades with a mix of monetary-metal and industrial-metal characteristics, so traders can disagree on whether prices will be strong enough by late June 2026 to clear a high threshold like $70. The uncertainty is not just about where silver trades during the month, but about where the CME determines the official settlement for the relevant active contract on one specific day. Because the cutoff is a single published settlement, even a move near expiration or a sharp gap around month-end can matter a lot.
Anything that changes the outlook for silver prices into late June 2026 can move this market, especially broad moves in precious metals, inflation expectations, interest rates, the U.S. dollar, and industrial demand sentiment. Contract mechanics also matter here: the market resolves on the Active Month settlement, so rollover timing and which CME delivery month is considered active at the end of June can affect the exact contract being referenced. Since the threshold is $70, the market will be especially sensitive if silver trades anywhere near that level as June expiration approaches.
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24h Vol
$540.9K
Liquidity
$259.9K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 53% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify the CME Group settlement page for Silver futures on each June trading day, since the market uses the first published official settlement for the Active Month and ignores intraday prices, bids, offers, and later corrections. The most important detail to check is which CME delivery month is the Active Month on the final trading day of June 2026, because the rules define it as the nearest designated delivery-cycle month that is not the spot month. Also note that weekends, holidays, and any market-closure days in June do not count toward resolution, so only CME days with an official settlement publication matter.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 53%, $169.5 in 24h volume, and $2K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
53%
No
47%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 53%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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