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Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$538.5K
Liquidity
$259.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 41%, $210 in 24h volume, and $1.9K in liquidity.
Probability
41%
24h Volume
$210
Liquidity
$1.9K
This market asks whether CME Silver futures will close June 2026 with an official settlement price above $75 on the final trading day of the month. It is a straightforward threshold bet on the June month-end CME settlement for Silver (SI), not on intraday trading or any later adjusted figure. Because silver can move sharply around macro data, currency moves, and precious-metals sentiment, the month-end CME print is the only number that matters here.
The event is the CME Group official settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the last trading day in June 2026. The market resolves "Yes" if that settlement is higher than $75 and "No" otherwise. The rules say to use only the Active Month contract as defined by CME’s delivery-cycle months, and only the first published settlement on the CME website counts.
The uncertainty is not about whether silver trades above or below $75 at some point, but whether the official CME settlement for the relevant Active Month will finish above that level on the final June trading day. That distinction matters because futures can settle at a different level than the last trade, and the Active Month can roll to a different contract as the delivery calendar changes. Traders watching this market are effectively debating whether silver can sustain an unusually high settlement into month-end.
Price can move when silver itself makes a sharp move before the June close, especially if the Active Month contract is still highly sensitive to macro headlines or commodity flows. The contract roll is another key factor: if CME’s Active Month switches during June, the market will follow the newly eligible contract rather than the one that was active earlier in the month. Any official CME settlement printed near the $75 line on the final trading day will matter most, since the market resolves off that exact published figure.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$538.5K
Liquidity
$259.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 41% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The main thing to verify is the CME settlement page for Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026, because that is the source of truth for resolution. Readers should check which contract is the Active Month on that date, since CME’s definition depends on its delivery-cycle months and First Position Date rules. Weekends, holidays, and days without an official CME settlement are ignored, and later corrections do not change the outcome once the first published settlement is used.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 41%, $210 in 24h volume, and $1.9K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
41%
No
59%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 41%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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