
--
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$538.5K
Liquidity
$259.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 7%, $1.2K in 24h volume, and $8.6K in liquidity.
Probability
7%
24h Volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$8.6K
This market asks whether the CME settlement price for the active Silver futures contract will finish above $90 on the last trading day of June 2026. It is a straightforward threshold bet on whether silver can reach an unusually high level by that date, using CME’s official daily settlement rather than intraday trading. Because the contract references the active month, readers should pay attention to which Silver (SI) contract CME designates as active in late June.
The event is tied to CME Group’s Silver futures, symbol SI, and the market resolves from the official settlement price for the active month contract on the final trading day of June 2026. In CME’s silver contract cycle, the active month is the nearest eligible delivery month that is not the spot month, and that designation can shift as position dates change. The outcome is binary: if that published settlement is above $90, the market resolves Yes; if it is $90 or below, it resolves No.
Silver prices can move sharply on inflation expectations, industrial demand, currency moves, and broader commodity sentiment, but a $90 settlement would still be a very large move compared with typical levels. That makes this a focused question about whether silver can reach an extreme threshold by a specific deadline, rather than simply whether it will rise or fall. The market is pricing disagreement over how far the metal can run and whether the official CME settlement at month-end will clear that line.
The price can change if silver’s futures curve moves enough to make a $90 settlement more or less plausible, especially near the end of June as the active contract changes. CME settlement methodology matters here because the market does not use the last trade, the day’s high, or an estimated midpoint; it uses the official settlement price published by CME. Any sharp move in the active-month SI contract, or a shift in which contract is active, can matter more than general commentary about spot silver.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$538.5K
Liquidity
$259.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 7% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key source of truth is the CME Group settlement page for the Silver futures active month on each June trading day, especially the final trading day of the month. Readers should verify which contract is active on that date, because the market resolves from the active month rather than simply the nearest calendar month. If CME later posts a correction, this market still resolves from the first published settlement for that day, so the initial official publication is the one that counts.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 7%, $1.2K in 24h volume, and $8.6K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
7%
No
93%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 7%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

+12.9%
24h Vol
$168.2K
Liquidity
$177.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
-1%
24h Vol
$77.6K
Liquidity
$57.6K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$33.2K
Liquidity
$128.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
-0.3%
24h Vol
$18.7K
Liquidity
$28.3K
Spread
1%
Live
View market
-0.3%
24h Vol
$22.5K
Liquidity
$29K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market