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Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$540.9K
Liquidity
$259.9K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $555 in 24h volume, and $10.6K in liquidity.
Probability
4%
24h Volume
$555
Liquidity
$10.6K
This market asks whether CME Silver futures will close June 2026 with an official settlement above $95 on the last trading day of the month. It is a very high threshold for a metal contract, so the page is really about whether silver can be repriced to an extreme level by the end of June 2026.
The contract is tied to CME Group’s official settlement for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures on the final trading day of June 2026. The “Active Month” is the nearest eligible delivery month in CME’s silver cycle, and the market will resolve only from the settlement price CME publishes for that contract on the relevant trading day. If that official settlement is higher than $95, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No.
The uncertainty here is not about whether silver will trade at all, but whether the CME’s official settlement for the relevant futures month can finish above an unusually elevated line. Silver prices can move on inflation expectations, industrial demand, dollar strength, interest-rate expectations, and broader risk sentiment, but a $95 settlement would require a major move relative to typical futures pricing. Traders watch this kind of market because it isolates a single, rule-based threshold on a specific exchange contract rather than a vague view on spot silver.
The market can move if silver futures rally sharply or sell off toward June 2026, especially near the Active Month contract that CME uses for settlement. Changes in macro conditions that affect precious metals — such as shifts in rates, the U.S. dollar, or demand for safe-haven assets — can matter, but only insofar as they translate into the CME settlement for the exact contract named in the rules. The live spread and low quoted price suggest the market currently treats a finish above $95 as a remote outcome, so any move toward that level would likely come from a large, sustained futures repricing rather than a short-lived intraday spike.
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24h Vol
$540.9K
Liquidity
$259.9K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 4% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before resolution, the key thing to verify is which silver contract is the Active Month on the final June trading day and what CME publishes as its official settlement price. Intraday highs, lows, last trades, and indicative quotes do not count, and days without a CME settlement are ignored under the rules. Readers should also note that the market resolves from the first settlement value CME posts for that day, even if CME later issues corrections or updates.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $555 in 24h volume, and $10.6K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
4%
No
96%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 4%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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