
-1.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
24h Vol
$114.3K
Liquidity
$137.9K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 15%, $2.5K in 24h volume, and $6.4K in liquidity.
Probability
15%
24h Volume
$2.5K
Liquidity
$6.4K
This market asks whether the S&P 500 index will print a 1-minute candle high of 7,700 or higher at any point during June 2026. Because the S&P 500 is the main benchmark for large U.S. stocks, a move to that level would signal an unusually strong month for equities and make this an event worth watching closely.
The outcome depends on the S&P 500’s Yahoo Finance 1-minute chart data, not on where the index finishes the month. If any regular-session 1-minute candle for ^GSPC shows a final High price at or above 7,700 between market creation and the close on June 30, 2026, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No. The final decision uses regular trading hours on the primary exchange and ignores periods when the market is officially closed.
This market is centered on a clear threshold question: can the broad U.S. equity benchmark reach a very high intraday level before the end of June 2026? Traders may disagree because the S&P 500 can move sharply on earnings season, inflation data, Federal Reserve expectations, or broader risk sentiment, and the market is specifically pricing the chance of an intramonth spike rather than a month-end close. The split between Yes and No reflects uncertainty over whether the index can touch that level before the deadline.
The biggest drivers are official economic releases, Federal Reserve policy signals, and major company earnings that can push the S&P 500 higher or lower in a short window. Since the market resolves on an intraday high, even a brief surge during a strong session could matter more than the month’s final close. Any broad selloff, weaker-than-expected data, or policy surprise that keeps the index well below 7,700 would make a Yes resolution harder.
The current market price implies roughly a 15% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

-1.9%
24h Vol
$114.3K
Liquidity
$137.9K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should check the exact source and rule: Yahoo Finance’s ^GSPC 1-minute data during regular trading hours only, with the final deadline set by the close on June 30, 2026 in the exchange’s local time. The key ambiguity risk is not the month-end level but whether a qualifying 1-minute candle high was recorded at any point before the market close. If you are following the market near the deadline, verify the intraday high on the source chart rather than relying on end-of-day summaries.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 15%, $2.5K in 24h volume, and $6.4K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
15.5%
No
84.6%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 15%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

--
24h Vol
$37.9K
Liquidity
$213.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$207.7K
Liquidity
$50.8K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$50.7K
Liquidity
$245.7K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market
-0.1%
24h Vol
$17.1K
Liquidity
$74.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View market
-0.1%
24h Vol
$29.6K
Liquidity
$18.8K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market