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Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$479.4K
Liquidity
$247.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 52%, $28.5K in 24h volume, and $20.3K in liquidity.
Probability
52%
24h Volume
$28.5K
Liquidity
$20.3K
This market asks whether the active-month WTI crude oil futures contract will trade at or through $100 at any point during a June 2026 trading session. WTI, or West Texas Intermediate, is the main U.S. oil benchmark, so a move to that level would signal a very sharp oil-price spike relative to normal conditions. The page is tracking the contract’s intraday highs and lows, not a month-end average or settlement price.
The resolution is tied to WTI Crude Oil futures and the active month contract during June 2026, with the cutoff running through the end of the market’s stated resolution window on July 1, 2026 UTC. The market resolves Yes if any 1-minute candle for the active month has a published High or Low at $100 or beyond, using Pyth data exactly as published and without rounding. If the active month does not trade during the relevant period, or if no qualifying print occurs in the applicable June trading sessions, it resolves No.
The $100 level is a round-number threshold that often matters in oil because it sits far above typical day-to-day trading ranges and can reflect major shifts in supply, demand, geopolitics, or market stress. Traders may disagree about whether WTI can actually reach that level within the month, especially because the outcome depends on an intraday touch rather than a close. The question is also shaped by contract mechanics: the “active month” rolls forward near expiration, so the answer depends on the specific futures contract representing June’s final trading sessions.
Any large move in crude oil itself can matter here, especially if it pushes front-month WTI sharply higher during an open session. Because the rule uses the active month and a one-minute high or low, a brief spike on the relevant contract is enough to settle the market Yes even if the price later falls back. Contract roll timing, holiday trading hours, and whether the front month or next listed month is active near the end of June are also important, since the outcome depends on which futures contract is in force at the time of the move.
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24h Vol
$479.4K
Liquidity
$247.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 52% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify three things before the market resolves: which WTI contract is the active month on each trading day, whether the relevant session was an official CME trading session, and whether Pyth published a one-minute candle with High or Low at $100 or beyond. The description says trading sessions usually run Sunday evening through Friday afternoon Eastern time, with a daily break, so prints outside those hours do not count. Because the market uses exact published prices and the active-month roll rule, small differences in timing or contract selection can change the result.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 52%, $28.5K in 24h volume, and $20.3K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
51.5%
No
48.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of June 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe’s business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 52%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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