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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$1M
Liquidity
$933.9K
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketEconomy
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–$2.75 in May?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $9.7K in 24h volume, and $7.3K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$9.7K
Liquidity
$7.3K
This market asks whether the U.S. city average price of a dozen Grade A large eggs will land in the $2.50 to $2.75 bracket for May. It matters because egg prices are a highly visible household staple, and this market ties the question to an official monthly price series rather than a headline or anecdote.
The exact reference is the St. Louis Fed series "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average," which is ultimately based on the Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI data. The May data point is scheduled to be published on June 10, 2026, and the market resolves when the St. Louis Fed updates its chart for that month. If May is not available by the time the next month's data would normally be released, the market falls back to the last available month, and exact values are measured to three decimal places.
There is uncertainty because egg prices can move from month to month with changes in supply, feed costs, disease outbreaks, transport costs, and consumer demand, and the official CPI figure can differ from casual store-level impressions. Readers may care because eggs are a common grocery item and the result gives a clean read on whether May pricing sat in a relatively low, middle, or elevated band. The market is pricing disagreement about whether the published May number will fall inside that specific $2.50-$2.75 range.
Anything that changes expectations for the May CPI egg figure can move this market, especially signals that point to lower or higher grocery inflation in that category. Because resolution depends on the official published value, the main drivers are not individual store prices but the monthly CPI release path and any revisions or delayed publication that affect which month is used. If the eventual figure lands near a bracket edge, even a small change in the reported decimal value can determine whether the answer is Yes or No.
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24h Vol
$1M
Liquidity
$933.9K
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key date is the June 10, 2026 publication of the May data point, along with the St. Louis Fed update that mirrors the BLS CPI release. Before resolution, readers should verify the exact reported value for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" and remember that the market uses third-decimal precision. If the figure lands exactly on a boundary between brackets, the rules say it resolves to the higher range, so the boundary case matters as much as the headline number.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–$2.75 in May?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $9.7K in 24h volume, and $7.3K in liquidity.
Track live economy prediction markets focused on inflation, recessions, GDP growth, labor markets, and major global economic developments.
Yes
0.1%
No
99.9%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 10, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the May data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111). The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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