
-0.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$791.5K
Liquidity
$1.5M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketEconomy
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–$3.00 in May?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $2.3K in 24h volume, and $8.4K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$2.3K
Liquidity
$8.4K
This market asks a very specific question about U.S. egg prices in the St. Louis Fed’s monthly data: will the reported cost of a dozen Grade A large eggs land between $2.75 and $3.00 for May? Because the resolution depends on an official series tied to the CPI release schedule, the key issue is not day-to-day grocery shelf prices but the exact published monthly figure.
The contract is linked to the St. Louis Fed series for “Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average,” which is updated from the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ CPI data. For May, the market will resolve when the St. Louis Fed updates its chart for that month, currently scheduled for June 10, 2026. The outcome is simple: if the May value falls within $2.75 to $3.00, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No, with ties going to the higher bracket if the number lands exactly on a boundary between ranges.
Egg prices can move sharply from month to month, and the official monthly series may differ from what people see at a single store or on a single shopping trip. That makes this a question about the published national average, not a local price, and readers may care because it captures whether May’s official data sits in a relatively narrow band. The market is pricing disagreement about where that specific monthly reading will land once the data is released.
The biggest price-moving event is the release of the May CPI-linked egg price on the St. Louis Fed page, since that is the source of truth for settlement. Any revision to the timing or availability of the May publication could also matter, because the rules say the market falls back to the last available month if May is still missing when the next month would normally be published. Since the contract resolves to the third decimal place, small differences around $2.75 or $3.00 matter a lot, especially if the reported value is near a bracket edge.
Related markets

-0.1%
24h Vol
$791.5K
Liquidity
$1.5M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before settlement, check the St. Louis Fed page for the May value of the exact series named in the rules, not a related grocery index or a headline estimate. The deadline in the contract is tied to the May release date, presently June 10, 2026, and the resolution depends on the chart update rather than commentary or secondary reporting. One important ambiguity to watch is the bracket boundary rule: if the published number lands exactly between two ranges, it resolves to the higher bracket, and the settlement uses three-decimal precision.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–$3.00 in May?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $2.3K in 24h volume, and $8.4K in liquidity.
Track live economy prediction markets focused on inflation, recessions, GDP growth, labor markets, and major global economic developments.
Yes
0.2%
No
99.9%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 10, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the May data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111). The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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