culture
😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
11%
-45%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
24h Vol
$258.9K
Liquidity
$11.9K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "A Perfect Getaway" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $121.2 in 24h volume, and $513.6 in liquidity.
Probability
3%
24h Volume
$121.2
Liquidity
$513.6
This market is asking whether the Netflix movie "A Perfect Getaway" will land at No. 2 on the U.S. Netflix weekly movie chart when Netflix posts its next Top 10 update. It is a narrow, title-specific question about one film’s weekly audience performance, so the key issue is not whether the movie is popular in general, but whether enough U.S. viewing lands it in that exact spot for the reporting week.
The event is Netflix’s U.S. Top 10 movies update on top10.netflix.com, expected Tuesday, June 9, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The chart reflects total U.S. views for movies during the previous Monday-through-Sunday period, and this market resolves on whether "A Perfect Getaway" is listed as the #2 movie in that update. If Netflix does not publish the chart by June 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" instead.
Netflix’s weekly rankings can shift quickly based on release timing, promotion, and what viewers choose to watch in a given seven-day window. "A Perfect Getaway" is an older title, so the uncertainty is whether it gets enough renewed attention in this specific week to reach the No. 2 position rather than simply appearing somewhere lower on the list or not at all.
Anything that changes expectations about the movie’s viewing total for that Monday-to-Sunday window can move this market. A stronger-than-expected appearance on the U.S. Top 10 list, heavy promotion by Netflix, or a surge in attention around the title would make a No. 2 finish seem more plausible, while a crowded week of bigger releases would work against it. Because the outcome depends on one exact ranking, even small changes in how the movie performs relative to the rest of Netflix’s lineup can matter.
The current market price implies roughly a 3% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-45%
24h Vol
$258.9K
Liquidity
$11.9K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View marketThe source of truth is Netflix’s own Top 10 page, not third-party chart summaries. Readers should verify the U.S. movie ranking, the publication time of the June 9 update, and whether the chart is actually posted before the June 12 fallback deadline. The main ambiguity risk is simple but important: the market only pays out if "A Perfect Getaway" is specifically shown as #2 in the U.S. movies list for that week, and if the update never appears in time, the rules say it resolves to "Other".
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will "A Perfect Getaway" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $121.2 in 24h volume, and $513.6 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
2.8%
No
97.2%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 10, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 9, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 3%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$55.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View market-0.5%
24h Vol
$82.3K
Liquidity
$54.9K
Spread
0%
6/12/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$93.6K
Liquidity
$1.9M
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market
-42.7%
24h Vol
$39.4K
Liquidity
$8.2K
Spread
4%
6/8/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$20.4K
Liquidity
$135.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market